Pestle

@Pestle

#8127

0x241f846866c2de4fb67cdb0ca6b963d85e56ef50

~503d· 10032 markets · 106794 tradesVol: $191,856,812 @Oraclepm2026-08-04 15:18:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (2875/9793)0/20
1.07x (win $1,185,341 / loss $1,104,349)3.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.2845.3/15
Sortino 0.3984/10
$+0.0015 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 521 (9793 markets)9.9/10
186/404 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 75% of peak ($236,974 / $315,056)0/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+1,906,975
Lottery Player
81% entries < $0.20
Whale
$55,263,997 invested
High Roller
$104,667/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
84% maker orders

Categories

9
📈 ECONOMICS#1$1,762,149Vol: $107,549,981
🏛️ POLITICS#1,648$28,479Vol: $43,347,260
🎭 CULTURE#780$10,905Vol: $20,400,292
SPORTS#876$92,444Vol: $14,496,223
CRYPTO#1,612,752$-882Vol: $3,818,912
💻 TECH#1,247$1,188Vol: $1,181,189
💰 FINANCE#474$11,475Vol: $137,520
📢 MENTIONS#1,439$857Vol: $25,590
🌤️ WEATHER#255,236$-15Vol: $14,245

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,906,975
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$191,856,812
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
10032
total markets
Trades
61905B / 44889S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~503d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $65
Month
$476
Vol: $771
All Time
$1,906,975
Vol: $191,856,812

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
2875W / 6918L events
Realized PnL
$1,906,975
Win Rate
29%
2875W / 6918L
Profit Factor
1.07x
Avg Win
$412
Avg Loss
$-162

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $584,779 (0.3066524261043639% of PnL)

Top Winners

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$375,562
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$147,091
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$62,126
Men's Quarterfinals - Slovakia vs. Germany$45,425
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5$37,741
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$34,483
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$25,870
First Blood in Game 5?$24,945
First Blood in Game 4?$24,939
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$24,871

Top Losers

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$-421,619
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$-203,300
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$-70,238
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$-57,074
Pune: Beibit Zhukayev vs Masamichi Imamura$-23,985
ATX Open: Jessica Pegula vs Rebecca Sramkova$-21,229
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winner$-19,967
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs METANOIAGG (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Group Stage$-19,567
UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)$-14,330
Hersonissos: Maximus Jones vs Tom Gentzsch$-13,654

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.015
Sortino
0.015
HHI
616
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.8%
Top-5 markets
49.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
202.3
Very active
Markets / Day
19.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
32s
between trades
Avg Gap
7.4m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
53 min
Avg Trades / Session
108.1

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 32s — normal for humanCV 4.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock202 trades/day — automation19 markets/day — mass coverage84% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.38
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)80.7%
Mid (20-55c)2.5%
High (>55c)16.8%

Sessions

#12
10/26/2025, 6:17:23 AM909 trades$3,336,818303 min
11/9/2025, 7:06:47 AM184 trades$2,329,10568 min
9/20/2025, 12:54:34 AM585 trades$1,699,091174 min
3/12/2026, 3:14:07 PM64 trades$1,500,39143 min
4/23/2026, 6:48:54 AM279 trades$1,479,87881 min
1/26/2026, 5:53:17 PM106 trades$1,456,00695 min
4/24/2026, 1:30:00 PM125 trades$1,267,39615 min
1/9/2026, 2:35:32 PM153 trades$1,088,208108 min
3/14/2026, 1:33:57 PM61 trades$1,079,07745 min
3/12/2026, 5:16:37 PM55 trades$1,047,90531 min
4/15/2026, 3:52:46 PM117 trades$964,99319 min
4/16/2026, 9:37:34 AM108 trades$843,14931 min
3/5/2026, 4:16:23 AM52 trades$797,73427 min
1/10/2026, 2:37:06 PM259 trades$786,002121 min
1/7/2026, 5:47:55 PM35 trades$679,71729 min
3/12/2026, 1:35:23 PM107 trades$621,82684 min
1/26/2026, 1:16:25 PM30 trades$604,89717 min
1/26/2026, 4:41:59 PM29 trades$593,77122 min
3/5/2026, 6:02:01 PM29 trades$575,94022 min
11/27/2025, 5:55:49 AM95 trades$573,25666 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-22
05-01
07-10
10-08
01-03
04-26
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 59 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.38/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L80.7 / M2.5 / H16.8