@0x244c2b…0949

#173,57118

0x244c2b24f60af309f93ccffa8206a07f4a2f1028

~48d· 128 markets · 290 tradesVol: $31,0942026-08-04 22:03:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (50/122)5.5/20
0.69x (win $2,205 / loss $3,192)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8120/15
Sortino -2.0500/10
$-0.1508 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 606 (122 markets)9.5/10
17/39 profitable days (44%)3.4/10
Max DD 244% of peak ($1,669 / $683)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+201
Contrarian
68% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#43,711$207Vol: $25,292
💰 FINANCE#20,989$76Vol: $1,951
🎭 CULTURE#718,503$-18Vol: $1,139
CRYPTO#259,892$7Vol: $1,027
SPORTS#177,824$42Vol: $625
💻 TECH#227,897$-10Vol: $443
📈 ECONOMICS#650,581$-57Vol: $368

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$201
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$31,094
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
128
total markets
Trades
214B / 76S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~48d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$4
Vol: $43
All Time
$201
Vol: $31,094

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
50W / 72L events
Realized PnL
$201
Win Rate
41%
50W / 72L
Profit Factor
0.69x
Avg Win
$44
Avg Loss
$-44

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,115 (5.537571393096598% of PnL)

Top Winners

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$755
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?$183
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$176
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? $175
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$109
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$84
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?$83
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$81
Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?$65
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$62

Top Losers

Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei$-1,388
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-345
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-211
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$-106
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?$-97
Maduro out in 2025?$-85
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?$-84
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$-71
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-69
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$-62

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.094
Sortino
-0.086
HHI
534
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.155
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.5%
Top-5 markets
43.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 470s — normal for humanCV 2.08 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.47
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22%
Mid (20-55c)46.3%
High (>55c)31.8%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 9:05:27 AM2 trades$7000 min
1/15/2026, 6:31:44 PM2 trades$5602 min
1/15/2026, 6:25:42 PM1 trades$5590 min
1/12/2026, 12:01:08 AM3 trades$5441 min
11/3/2025, 8:47:05 PM1 trades$4850 min
1/9/2026, 11:21:38 PM4 trades$4843 min
1/20/2026, 11:35:04 PM5 trades$4077 min
11/3/2025, 8:15:47 PM1 trades$4000 min
11/16/2025, 8:45:51 PM1 trades$3500 min
1/20/2026, 10:05:22 PM8 trades$3365 min
2/20/2026, 12:39:24 AM2 trades$3171 min
2/28/2026, 8:17:21 PM2 trades$3080 min
7/16/2026, 1:56:11 PM3 trades$2240 min
3/17/2026, 12:33:57 AM1 trades$2010 min
12/3/2025, 9:25:39 PM2 trades$2000 min
1/8/2026, 6:32:52 PM2 trades$2001 min
4/13/2026, 1:28:25 PM20 trades$1756 min
11/2/2025, 1:08:39 AM1 trades$1500 min
4/7/2026, 8:44:35 AM7 trades$1500 min
11/3/2025, 6:09:55 PM3 trades$1493 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-23
10-29
11-04
11-15
12-03
01-20
04-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 61 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.47/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L22 / M46.3 / H31.8