Zangwill

@Zangwill

#1,374,66010

0x2472d00bd3b60d79969d1900998407a12ed68026

~14d· 70 markets · 187 tradesVol: $6952026-08-04 22:42:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

24% (16/66)0/20
0.79x (win $1 / loss $1)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4930/15
Sortino -1.8880/10
$-0.0006 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 293 (66 markets)10/10
4/13 profitable days (31%)0.2/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#797,068$-1Vol: $245
🎭 CULTURE#400,121$-0Vol: $145
CRYPTO#747,952$-0Vol: $130
📈 ECONOMICS#286,250$-0Vol: $54
🌤️ WEATHER#166,600$-0Vol: $54
💰 FINANCE#451,915$-1Vol: $34
SPORTS#642,020$-0Vol: $31

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$695
Total Redeem
$9
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
70
total markets
Trades
74B / 113S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2
Vol: $695

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
24%
16W / 50L events
Realized PnL
$-2
Win Rate
24%
16W / 50L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $0 (0.1927710843373494% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will "Man on Fire" be the top global Netflix show this week?$0
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?$0
Will the price of Solana be above $50 on June 5?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 23?$0
Will XRP reach $2.10 May 4-10?$0
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be at least 8% in May?$0
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?$0
Will Datadog (DDOG) beat quarterly earnings?$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 8?$0
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition$0

Top Losers

Gustavo Petro out as Colombia president before March?$-0
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 12?$-0
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31?$-0
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 86°F or higher on March 20?$-0
Will a candidate win outright in Ireland’s first round?$-0
Will Netherlands win Junior Eurovision 2025?$-0
Will Ordinary by Alex Warren be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 21?$-0
Will "Caught Stealing" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $10m?$-0
Will "Kpop Demon Hunters" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$-0
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 19?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.075
Sortino
-0.086
HHI
357
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.3%
Top-5 markets
33.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
28s
between trades
Avg Gap
7.3m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
20
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.3

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 28s — normal for humanCV 0.86 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours12/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal9% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.7
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.4%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)98.6%

Sessions

#12
8/30/2025, 3:53:53 PM29 trades$607 min
1/22/2026, 11:51:56 AM17 trades$5515 min
6/23/2026, 8:15:47 AM10 trades$463 min
3/19/2026, 11:00:47 AM10 trades$4510 min
2/12/2026, 12:00:55 PM4 trades$385 min
3/19/2026, 10:08:25 AM6 trades$376 min
2/12/2026, 3:23:41 PM13 trades$3514 min
6/5/2026, 9:04:22 AM6 trades$322 min
10/25/2025, 1:11:23 PM19 trades$2917 min
5/7/2026, 4:57:00 AM7 trades$273 min
12/7/2025, 5:28:03 PM18 trades$2413 min
11/21/2025, 5:05:05 AM18 trades$158 min
5/7/2026, 5:07:22 AM8 trades$132 min
6/5/2026, 8:05:27 AM2 trades$120 min
11/20/2025, 5:12:07 PM5 trades$1012 min
1/12/2025, 3:18:53 PM4 trades$52 min
1/12/2025, 3:26:47 PM4 trades$41 min
12/7/2025, 5:46:53 PM4 trades$24 min
2/19/2025, 7:35:54 PM2 trades$21 min
12/31/2025, 4:17:11 PM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-12
08-30
11-21
12-31
02-12
05-07
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.7/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.4 / M0 / H98.6