@0x247b…729f

#2,336,59926

0x247b4a98c087c4e33d289d967f98b011a85a729f

~41d· 78 markets · 173 tradesVol: $2,6672026-08-04 19:57:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (32/63)10.4/20
0.38x (win $48 / loss $127)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.9230/15
Sortino -5.7820/10
$-0.4184 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 726 (63 markets)8.9/10
15/27 profitable days (56%)6.4/10
Max DD 4267% of peak ($91 / $2)0/10

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,276,137$-10Vol: $2,493
⚽ SPORTS#1,454,741$-19Vol: $88
₿ CRYPTO#1,258,511$-20Vol: $45
📈 ECONOMICS#428,300$-0Vol: $35
💻 TECH#44,926$1Vol: $3
🎭 CULTURE#174,637$1Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-48
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,667
Total Redeem
$18
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
78
total markets
Trades
115B / 58S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~41d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$3
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-48
Vol: $2,667

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
32W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$-48
Win Rate
51%
32W / 31L
Profit Factor
0.38x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $20 (0.428451707521475% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?$11
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$5
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?$5
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$3
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$2
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?$2
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?$2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 26, 2026?$2
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?$2
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$2

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-35
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$-34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$-12
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-6
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-4
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$-4
US government shutdown Saturday?$-3
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$-2
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.304
Sortino
-0.246
HHI
507
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.420
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.9%
Top-5 markets
41.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 135s — normal for humanCV 1.14 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours17/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.52
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.8%
Mid (20-55c)30.4%
High (>55c)54.8%

Sessions

#12
3/31/2026, 5:11:09 PM7 trades$226 min
2/28/2026, 8:52:47 PM4 trades$201 min
6/22/2026, 7:08:31 PM2 trades$200 min
6/1/2026, 1:56:27 PM4 trades$192 min
6/23/2026, 8:17:58 PM2 trades$180 min
6/22/2026, 7:14:34 PM16 trades$188 min
5/20/2026, 9:28:18 PM10 trades$137 min
5/9/2026, 1:01:27 AM6 trades$110 min
5/12/2026, 10:53:49 PM3 trades$100 min
5/20/2026, 9:42:49 PM8 trades$91 min
6/23/2026, 2:21:26 PM8 trades$93 min
3/18/2026, 3:44:05 PM6 trades$73 min
6/26/2026, 8:23:46 PM6 trades$54 min
6/25/2026, 12:00:56 PM6 trades$51 min
5/13/2026, 6:48:24 PM2 trades$50 min
2/19/2026, 1:56:40 PM4 trades$43 min
3/31/2026, 12:16:25 PM1 trades$40 min
3/31/2026, 6:43:53 PM4 trades$41 min
4/2/2026, 12:09:03 AM2 trades$40 min
4/12/2026, 3:42:53 AM4 trades$41 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-10
01-30
03-11
03-30
04-21
06-01
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 98 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.52/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.8 / M30.4 / H54.8