@jonnyquakes

#3,049,91518

0x2480d18ea391bda8f9dbb38431fa591517c63c00

~52d· 51 markets · 790 tradesVol: $293,9422026-08-04 22:23:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (21/50)6/20
0.88x (win $28,508 / loss $32,415)1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4580/15
Sortino -0.9130/10
$-0.0956 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 680 (50 markets)9.1/10
13/33 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 416% of peak ($19,784 / $4,761)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
57% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

4
⚽ SPORTS#74,883$283Vol: $183,998
₿ CRYPTO#1,663,234$-3,694Vol: $79,554
🌤️ WEATHER#297,730$-1,020Vol: $26,689
🏛️ POLITICS#1,627,362$-2,023Vol: $3,700

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-6,454
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$293,942
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
51
total markets
Trades
482B / 308S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~52d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $222
Month
$4
Vol: $444
All Time
$-6,454
Vol: $293,942

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
21W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$-6,454
Win Rate
42%
21W / 29L
Profit Factor
0.88x
Avg Win
$1,358
Avg Loss
$-1,297

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $26,052 (4.0366424490896335% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$24,646
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$792
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$615
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$513
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$363
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$335
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$296
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$198
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$168
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$136

Top Losers

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-7,303
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-5,365
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,630
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,490
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-3,420
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-1,643
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,616
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-920
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$-804
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-596

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.024
Sortino
-0.039
HHI
1508
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.065
Kelly %
2.2%
Half-Kelly
1.1%
Top-1 market
22.5%
Top-5 markets
73.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 74s — normal for humanCV 2.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
18.12
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.4%
Mid (20-55c)33.8%
High (>55c)42.7%

Sessions

#12
6/16/2026, 3:40:03 AM26 trades$2,3270 min
6/30/2026, 11:32:58 AM4 trades$1,9880 min
7/9/2026, 3:20:56 PM4 trades$1,9311 min
7/27/2026, 2:34:57 PM37 trades$1,9255 min
6/18/2026, 2:18:08 PM10 trades$1,9210 min
7/1/2026, 12:53:44 PM2 trades$1,8480 min
7/27/2026, 9:16:16 PM26 trades$1,4739 min
6/17/2026, 7:15:31 PM4 trades$1,1100 min
6/17/2026, 7:23:14 PM2 trades$1,1000 min
6/19/2026, 7:31:49 AM1 trades$1,0990 min
6/17/2026, 7:05:55 PM10 trades$1,0732 min
6/25/2026, 12:56:08 AM1 trades$1,0270 min
7/3/2026, 11:05:46 AM7 trades$9994 min
7/4/2026, 12:06:41 AM1 trades$9990 min
7/10/2026, 2:20:22 PM2 trades$9750 min
6/16/2026, 4:26:40 AM5 trades$9329 min
6/29/2026, 10:29:07 AM2 trades$9320 min
6/29/2026, 11:48:17 PM2 trades$8800 min
7/27/2026, 1:49:55 PM51 trades$8040 min
7/28/2026, 6:23:46 AM83 trades$8000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-26
03-30
06-12
06-19
07-04
07-13
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 18.12/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.4 / M33.8 / H42.7