@0x249208ca

#481,08157

0xafc11a558924778c6706b173369bf7ceeca5a179

~12d· 108 markets · 245 tradesVol: $3,8682026-08-06 07:03:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

57
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

64% (55/86)17/20
1.04x (win $133 / loss $128)3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.61311.5/15
Sortino 0.9129.1/10
$+0.0068 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 184 (86 markets)10/10
10/18 profitable days (56%)6.4/10
Max DD 323% of peak ($28 / $9)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 64%
Profitable
PnL $+11
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

8
🌤️ WEATHER#243,788$-10Vol: $1,871
⚽ SPORTS#268,460$12Vol: $903
🎭 CULTURE#659,680$-6Vol: $601
💰 FINANCE#84,807$4Vol: $246
💻 TECH#68,070$0Vol: $91
📈 ECONOMICS#133,021$1Vol: $59
🏛️ POLITICS#148,458$15Vol: $53
₿ CRYPTO#1,017,088$-4Vol: $44

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$11
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,868
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
108
total markets
Trades
120B / 125S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

Periods

#2
Today
$-14
Vol: $0
Week
$-14
Vol: $0
Month
$-14
Vol: $0
All Time
$11
Vol: $3,868

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
56W / 39L events
Realized PnL
$11
Win Rate
59%
56W / 39L
Profit Factor
1.04x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $66 (5.88031914893617% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$27
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-07-21?$20
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?$19
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 28?$10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 20?$8
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on July 26?$7
Procter & Gamble (PG) Q4 organic sales growth 1.5%-2.5%?$5
Procter & Gamble (PG) Q4 organic sales growth 0.5%-1.5%?$5
Will EC Juventude vs. Avaí FC end in a draw?$4
Will Haley Stevens win Kent County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?$4

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$-24
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?$-18
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?$-12
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-07-21?$-10
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on July 26?$-9
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-07-28?$-7
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 20?$-7
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 29?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.031
Sortino
0.037
HHI
112
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.7%
Top-5 markets
14.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 692s — normal for humanCV 0.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.35
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.7%
Mid (20-55c)10.8%
High (>55c)82.5%

Sessions

#12
7/19/2026, 11:04:34 PM11 trades$860 min
7/26/2026, 8:10:58 PM10 trades$740 min
7/27/2026, 12:54:06 AM8 trades$671 min
7/20/2026, 8:59:01 AM10 trades$610 min
7/19/2026, 11:25:46 PM6 trades$600 min
2/10/2026, 11:10:15 AM3 trades$582 min
2/10/2026, 10:59:55 AM1 trades$500 min
7/26/2026, 4:45:25 PM11 trades$480 min
7/22/2026, 2:06:09 AM10 trades$411 min
7/28/2026, 6:11:43 AM8 trades$400 min
7/26/2026, 10:27:12 PM4 trades$380 min
7/26/2026, 8:17:36 PM10 trades$380 min
7/21/2026, 6:19:48 AM4 trades$371 min
7/20/2026, 5:14:55 PM10 trades$350 min
7/21/2026, 10:34:31 AM5 trades$310 min
7/26/2026, 12:00:19 AM8 trades$310 min
7/19/2026, 12:15:54 PM4 trades$260 min
7/20/2026, 11:29:54 AM8 trades$250 min
7/29/2026, 11:04:29 AM5 trades$241 min
7/19/2026, 5:05:28 AM4 trades$240 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-19 01:00:00
2026-07-20 03:59:00
2026-07-21 16:00:00
2026-07-26 23:00:00
2026-07-28 22:30:00
2026-07-31 23:59:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
40% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.35/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.7 / M10.8 / H82.5