@jtalms
#164,929470x24d41da5adcea52e718ee3f97de7136e8ce37849
~43d· 54 markets · 304 tradesVol: $56,9382026-08-04 19:44:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
47
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
29% (12/42)0/20
1.38x (win $2,267 / loss $1,648)7.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.67915/15
Sortino 4.20410/10
$+0.1078 per $1 invested5.4/10
HHI 1000 (42 markets)7.5/10
8/28 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 59% of peak ($899 / $1,517)2.2/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+227
Lottery Player
39% entries < $0.20
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#146,540$15Vol: $31,111
⚽ SPORTS#67,810$341Vol: $13,849
🎭 CULTURE#699,405$-12Vol: $11,377
💰 FINANCE#631,957$-99Vol: $475
💻 TECH#234,668$-19Vol: $125
Overview
#1Net PnL
$227
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$56,938
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
54
total markets
Trades
115B / 189S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~43d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $285
Week
$17
Vol: $1,866
Month
$15
Vol: $1,866
All Time
$227
Vol: $56,938
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
29%
12W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$227
Win Rate
29%
12W / 30L
Profit Factor
1.38x
Avg Win
$189
Avg Loss
$-72
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,683 (7.424884182660489% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$1,129
Knicks vs. Spurs$300
Spurs vs. Knicks$254
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$176
Knicks vs. Spurs$133
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$103
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$50
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$48
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5$33
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?$20
Top Losers
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-352
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?$-200
Knicks vs. Spurs$-200
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-100
Spread: Spain (-2.5)$-100
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$-100
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 3.5$-100
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$-100
US government shutdown Saturday?$-80
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$-65
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.086
Sortino
0.233
HHI
603
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.125
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.4%
Top-5 markets
45.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
44%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.6
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 77s — normal for humanCV 1.08 — diverse sizes (human-like)44% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 0:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.14
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)39.1%
Mid (20-55c)29.6%
High (>55c)31.3%
Sessions
#125/19/2026, 12:57:46 AM6 trades$2,8140 min
4/12/2026, 12:25:49 AM61 trades$2,2834 min
7/3/2026, 11:32:41 PM10 trades$1,1501 min
6/16/2026, 8:34:43 PM13 trades$8534 min
6/29/2026, 8:53:14 PM16 trades$7641 min
8/2/2026, 1:14:06 AM21 trades$7435 min
5/26/2026, 11:05:23 PM6 trades$6250 min
6/23/2026, 6:27:50 PM5 trades$4481 min
5/29/2026, 5:34:27 PM2 trades$3990 min
6/19/2026, 10:06:29 PM8 trades$3852 min
7/4/2026, 6:03:16 PM10 trades$3690 min
5/21/2026, 3:32:04 AM2 trades$3470 min
1/29/2026, 2:21:58 AM3 trades$3383 min
6/12/2026, 1:57:01 AM12 trades$3321 min
6/17/2026, 12:09:37 AM6 trades$3001 min
7/23/2026, 6:45:22 PM7 trades$2830 min
7/14/2026, 9:04:19 PM2 trades$2650 min
7/14/2026, 2:56:19 PM5 trades$2641 min
7/3/2026, 2:39:38 PM2 trades$2470 min
1/11/2026, 11:19:00 PM3 trades$2301 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-21
05-23
05-22
06-12
06-19
07-04
07-16
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 40 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
62.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.14/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L39.1 / M29.6 / H31.3