@Kermit523
#65,450780x251873424b82377ca0f1e1eccbb381c95d6731ad
~20d· 36 markets · 458 tradesVol: $48,1362026-08-05 15:51:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
78
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
38% (10/26)4.2/20
2.28x (win $7,471 / loss $3,278)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.77815/15
Sortino 22.39210/10
$+0.4638 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 806 (26 markets)8.5/10
6/12 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 16% of peak ($788 / $4,981)10/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+1,460
Lottery Player
36% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 16%
Categories
2🏛️ POLITICS#14,884$1,341Vol: $46,795
📈 ECONOMICS#10,884$127Vol: $1,230
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,460
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$48,136
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
36
total markets
Trades
104B / 354S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-105
Vol: $0
Month
$-118
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,460
Vol: $48,136
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
38%
10W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$1,460
Win Rate
38%
10W / 16L
Profit Factor
2.28x
Avg Win
$747
Avg Loss
$-219
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,644 (4.551479654747227% of PnL)
Top Winners
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$4,830
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1,337
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$477
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?$344
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?$241
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?$104
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$81
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?$40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$14
Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?$3
Top Losers
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-1,000
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-398
Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?$-334
Will 200-224 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?$-317
Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?$-220
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?$-206
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$-200
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$-193
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?$-182
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$-100
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.239
Sortino
1.340
HHI
804
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.492
Kelly %
7.4%
Half-Kelly
3.7%
Top-1 market
15%
Top-5 markets
56.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
35
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.1
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 60s — normal for humanCV 1.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours11/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 10:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
16.85
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)35.6%
Mid (20-55c)26%
High (>55c)38.5%
Sessions
#123/1/2026, 4:10:37 AM1 trades$2,2340 min
7/13/2026, 10:41:43 AM60 trades$1,6572 min
6/14/2026, 4:28:45 PM62 trades$1,59914 min
4/9/2026, 9:55:33 AM14 trades$1,4540 min
4/22/2026, 12:35:28 PM16 trades$1,1342 min
6/24/2026, 5:30:14 PM4 trades$1,1311 min
7/13/2026, 11:27:22 AM39 trades$9751 min
1/12/2026, 3:56:56 AM1 trades$9450 min
6/19/2026, 11:40:58 AM25 trades$9243 min
1/12/2026, 3:24:22 AM1 trades$8970 min
6/4/2026, 9:50:24 AM18 trades$8037 min
4/5/2026, 5:42:33 AM13 trades$7923 min
4/8/2026, 4:10:23 AM14 trades$7701 min
6/28/2026, 6:31:25 AM2 trades$7140 min
6/18/2026, 10:32:38 AM33 trades$7081 min
6/17/2026, 8:46:04 AM12 trades$6250 min
6/17/2026, 4:18:50 AM20 trades$5751 min
7/2/2026, 4:59:31 AM13 trades$5191 min
4/1/2026, 8:09:27 AM4 trades$5070 min
3/1/2026, 10:40:35 AM1 trades$5000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-01
04-08
04-22
06-14
06-19
06-21
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 95 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
77.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.85/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L35.6 / M26 / H38.5