@0x4f4502…2890

#2,050,20641

0x252471bffe3f4f292a1eb63aaa829be2b1166f1e

~34d· 41 markets · 75 tradesVol: $3,8902026-08-04 20:59:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

80% (33/41)20/20
0.91x (win $26 / loss $28)1.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4340/15
Sortino -0.5150/10
$-0.0017 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 617 (41 markets)9.4/10
26/33 profitable days (79%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($17 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 80%
Consistent
26/33 profitable days
Win Streak
9 wins in a row

Categories

5
💰 FINANCE#551,626$-6Vol: $2,802
🏛️ POLITICS#344,322$1Vol: $525
₿ CRYPTO#1,207,750$-14Vol: $457
💻 TECH#91,487$0Vol: $99
📈 ECONOMICS#130,057$1Vol: $6

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-19
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,890
Total Redeem
$6
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
41
total markets
Trades
48B / 27S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $0
Month
$2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-19
Vol: $3,890

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
80%
33W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$-19
Win Rate
80%
33W / 8L
Profit Factor
0.91x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16 (0.8387787895018746% of PnL)

Top Winners

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$9
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?$4
Trump out as President by April 30?$3
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$2
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$1
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?$1
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?$1
Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1
Will BNY fail by June 30, 2026?$0

Top Losers

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 12?$-15
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?$-8
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-3
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-2
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$-0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 1?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.022
Sortino
-0.014
HHI
630
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.2%
Top-5 markets
44.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
19.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
5.9h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
45
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1154s — normal for humanCV 0.80 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.12
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.2%
Mid (20-55c)2.1%
High (>55c)91.7%

Sessions

#12
7/2/2026, 3:50:02 PM4 trades$1091 min
6/25/2026, 3:31:38 PM2 trades$1080 min
4/7/2026, 12:20:21 PM4 trades$1030 min
1/13/2026, 1:56:55 PM3 trades$1031 min
1/12/2026, 2:53:24 PM1 trades$1000 min
2/5/2026, 1:20:41 PM1 trades$940 min
1/26/2026, 7:54:25 AM3 trades$931 min
2/2/2026, 9:03:36 AM2 trades$810 min
3/11/2026, 1:13:27 PM1 trades$700 min
1/29/2026, 5:04:06 PM1 trades$610 min
1/28/2026, 1:15:45 PM1 trades$560 min
1/14/2026, 12:38:24 PM1 trades$500 min
1/16/2026, 1:31:50 AM1 trades$400 min
1/17/2026, 3:13:32 AM1 trades$400 min
3/2/2026, 1:52:35 PM2 trades$391 min
2/3/2026, 11:14:28 AM1 trades$390 min
1/16/2026, 2:04:16 PM1 trades$380 min
4/30/2026, 1:54:26 PM2 trades$370 min
2/1/2026, 12:49:40 PM1 trades$360 min
1/15/2026, 1:55:44 PM2 trades$361 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-12
01-17
01-28
02-13
03-02
04-03
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.12/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.2 / M2.1 / H91.7