@0x2538a9…8938

#2,832,8459

0x2538a96d6edde8c164122ea8ff1c48a44a52b223

~24d· 37 markets · 150 tradesVol: $30,7512026-08-05 17:29:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

14% (5/37)0/20
0.35x (win $394 / loss $1,142)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.0830/15
Sortino -7.6710/10
$-0.4497 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 734 (37 markets)8.8/10
4/18 profitable days (22%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($773 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
65% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
⚽ SPORTS#1,788,914$-436Vol: $30,741
₿ CRYPTO#809,170$-1Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-437
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$30,751
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
37
total markets
Trades
94B / 56S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-437
Vol: $30,751

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
14%
5W / 32L events
Realized PnL
$-437
Win Rate
14%
5W / 32L
Profit Factor
0.35x
Avg Win
$79
Avg Loss
$-41

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $359 (0.8218898864052767% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$236
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$87
Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$37
Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25
Will Son Heung-min score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10

Top Losers

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-248
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-141
Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-131
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-106
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-102
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-66
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-60
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-50
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-36
UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion$-32

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.360
Sortino
-0.459
HHI
1679
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.323
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
25.7%
Top-5 markets
74.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
45
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 380s — normal for humanCV 1.69 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.51
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)64.9%
Mid (20-55c)13.8%
High (>55c)21.3%

Sessions

#12
7/1/2026, 8:38:59 PM2 trades$4120 min
6/15/2026, 11:08:58 PM5 trades$3244 min
7/1/2026, 8:20:08 PM2 trades$2680 min
6/21/2026, 10:49:10 AM8 trades$1855 min
5/9/2026, 12:01:22 PM8 trades$1756 min
6/15/2026, 9:55:03 PM8 trades$1737 min
4/26/2026, 1:57:32 PM11 trades$1615 min
6/18/2026, 7:29:37 PM2 trades$1560 min
7/5/2026, 10:29:59 PM2 trades$1330 min
6/14/2026, 8:39:01 AM6 trades$1150 min
7/8/2026, 5:09:52 PM4 trades$1101 min
6/14/2026, 5:28:21 PM2 trades$1000 min
6/21/2026, 8:40:29 PM1 trades$910 min
6/30/2026, 11:08:46 AM2 trades$890 min
5/9/2026, 11:33:10 AM4 trades$801 min
4/25/2026, 10:45:18 PM8 trades$711 min
4/25/2026, 11:52:16 PM4 trades$632 min
6/9/2026, 4:33:37 PM2 trades$600 min
4/22/2026, 10:23:06 PM4 trades$523 min
6/10/2026, 1:34:28 PM2 trades$520 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-22
04-26
06-09
06-17
06-21
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.51/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L64.9 / M13.8 / H21.3