@Mintlune

#200,20259

0x2559468811e5c54de2d45e7e4bb6c84abf442ef4

~145d· 773 markets · 2253 tradesVol: $35,7422026-08-04 17:22:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (218/748)0/20
1.37x (win $2,629 / loss $1,913)7.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.57415/15
Sortino 5.85110/10
$+0.2213 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 88 (748 markets)10/10
47/132 profitable days (36%)1.4/10
Max DD 43% of peak ($324 / $746)5.3/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+145
Lottery Player
47% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#23,878$631Vol: $20,393
🎭 CULTURE#786,316$-122Vol: $4,749
📢 MENTIONS#170,302$-249Vol: $4,603
SPORTS#1,629,479$-66Vol: $2,164
💻 TECH#219,459$-6Vol: $1,365
CRYPTO#1,245,922$-18Vol: $1,319
💰 FINANCE#592,449$-18Vol: $460
📈 ECONOMICS#587,856$-8Vol: $347
🌤️ WEATHER#44,765$2Vol: $344

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$145
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$35,742
Total Redeem
$96
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
773
total markets
Trades
1806B / 447S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~145d

Periods

#2
Today
$-13
Vol: $70
Week
$-8
Vol: $347
Month
$-9
Vol: $347
All Time
$145
Vol: $35,742

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
218W / 530L events
Realized PnL
$145
Win Rate
29%
218W / 530L
Profit Factor
1.37x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $711 (4.900923246520602% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$267
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files?$246
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$198
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?$170
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$152
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?$94
Military action against Iran ends by April 14, 2026?$58
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$58
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?$53
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?$52

Top Losers

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$-38
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$-33
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 9AM ET$-23
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?$-22
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$-21
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$-20
Will Stranger Things: Season 5 have more than 75 million views the week of the finale?$-16
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-16
Will Trump say "Amish" or "Rancher" during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$-15
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$-15

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.082
Sortino
0.325
HHI
33
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.227
Kelly %
1.2%
Half-Kelly
0.6%
Top-1 market
1.6%
Top-5 markets
6.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 204s — normal for humanCV 1.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal2.8 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.98
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)46.6%
Mid (20-55c)42.2%
High (>55c)11.2%

Sessions

#12
12/23/2025, 10:24:03 AM7 trades$5981 min
4/7/2026, 11:58:21 PM7 trades$1772 min
6/9/2026, 7:00:33 PM23 trades$1495 min
5/13/2026, 5:19:40 AM4 trades$1430 min
4/15/2026, 1:37:40 PM13 trades$1042 min
5/7/2026, 9:00:33 AM25 trades$1018 min
6/1/2026, 2:00:50 PM2 trades$970 min
5/7/2026, 3:28:20 AM9 trades$885 min
4/13/2026, 7:18:31 AM7 trades$866 min
6/1/2026, 2:12:33 PM15 trades$743 min
1/8/2026, 2:49:48 PM4 trades$732 min
12/15/2025, 4:38:09 PM6 trades$7311 min
1/28/2026, 6:41:14 PM3 trades$731 min
2/3/2026, 3:50:28 AM1 trades$630 min
11/28/2025, 1:40:33 PM7 trades$626 min
8/2/2026, 6:40:26 PM4 trades$570 min
5/12/2026, 5:08:01 PM4 trades$555 min
5/9/2026, 7:06:44 PM26 trades$5110 min
4/25/2026, 10:19:36 AM29 trades$517 min
4/9/2026, 1:04:19 AM9 trades$476 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-02
12-02
12-27
01-18
02-10
04-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 87 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.98/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46.6 / M42.2 / H11.2