@Dobsonde

#2,252,39527

0x256b116eeafd98b4efba6048b8b82d7f82cecfa6

~16d· 24 markets · 95 tradesVol: $30,1462026-08-04 18:13:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (8/14)13.6/20
0.94x (win $243 / loss $258)1.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.5170/15
Sortino -0.7420/10
$-0.0024 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1107 (14 markets)7/10
6/12 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 109% of peak ($183 / $168)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
46% entries < $0.20
🏗️Market Maker
71% maker orders

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#1,286,777$-11Vol: $24,828
⚽ SPORTS#1,492,828$-25Vol: $5,318

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-35
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$30,146
Total Redeem
$323
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
24
total markets
Trades
65B / 30S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
8W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$-35
Win Rate
57%
8W / 6L
Profit Factor
0.94x
Avg Win
$30
Avg Loss
$-43

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $183 (5.209553596815468% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)$95
Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)$61
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?$28
Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)$19
Spread: CSyD Macará (-1.5)$14
Spread: AFC Unirea Slobozia (-1.5)$11
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$11
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?$5

Top Losers

Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?$-85
Spread: India (-1.5)$-49
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?$-49
Spread: Audax CS Italiano (-2.5)$-29
Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)$-26
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)$-21

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.026
Sortino
-0.049
HHI
438
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.004
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.8%
Top-5 markets
41.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
8/24
Normal
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
50%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
38
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 63s — normal for humanCV 1.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)49% night trades — never sleeps8/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal71% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.79
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)46.2%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)53.8%

Sessions

#12
6/9/2026, 4:42:34 AM4 trades$1,0300 min
7/30/2026, 6:23:06 AM6 trades$9554 min
7/30/2026, 7:28:30 AM3 trades$9300 min
7/8/2026, 7:11:55 AM4 trades$8800 min
4/26/2026, 5:04:26 AM4 trades$8270 min
6/27/2026, 7:43:17 AM6 trades$8201 min
6/27/2026, 6:51:58 AM4 trades$7800 min
6/21/2026, 5:45:08 AM4 trades$6301 min
5/30/2026, 5:30:40 AM2 trades$5250 min
5/31/2026, 5:12:03 AM2 trades$5100 min
5/10/2026, 5:53:52 AM2 trades$4800 min
5/11/2026, 7:01:31 AM2 trades$4750 min
7/14/2026, 4:53:16 AM3 trades$4610 min
5/10/2026, 7:34:17 AM4 trades$4570 min
5/10/2026, 8:30:15 AM2 trades$4500 min
5/11/2026, 9:38:50 AM2 trades$4500 min
5/11/2026, 7:43:50 AM1 trades$4420 min
4/15/2026, 5:05:38 AM2 trades$3440 min
4/16/2026, 6:31:36 AM2 trades$3230 min
4/15/2026, 7:37:32 AM1 trades$3160 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-08
04-15
04-26
05-11
05-31
06-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 44 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.79/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46.2 / M0 / H53.8