@0x2583…261a
#203,600330x2583829535661016b85cea56eab41a2a5280261a
~49d· 95 markets · 386 tradesVol: $26,5132026-08-04 15:01:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
57% (49/86)13.5/20
0.93x (win $2,074 / loss $2,226)1.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.5520/15
Sortino -0.7180/10
$-0.0159 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 407 (86 markets)10/10
23/38 profitable days (61%)7.6/10
Max DD 118% of peak ($977 / $826)0/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+110
Consistent
23/38 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#34,325$325Vol: $14,122
🎭 CULTURE#15,027$175Vol: $4,723
📢 MENTIONS#172,156$-374Vol: $4,389
📈 ECONOMICS#28,124$21Vol: $2,671
🌤️ WEATHER#274,329$-44Vol: $375
💰 FINANCE#30,427$36Vol: $233
Overview
#1Net PnL
$139
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$26,513
Total Redeem
$616
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
95
total markets
Trades
145B / 241S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~49d
Periods
#2Today
$26
Vol: $0
Week
$4
Vol: $0
Month
$-102
Vol: $0
All Time
$139
Vol: $26,513
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
57%
49W / 37L events
Realized PnL
$110
Win Rate
57%
49W / 37L
Profit Factor
0.93x
Avg Win
$42
Avg Loss
$-70
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,044 (9.49022993728983% of PnL)
Top Winners
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$736
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$221
Will Trump talk to Maria Corina Machado in April?$87
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?$86
Will the White House Press Secretary say "Baby" during the next White House Press Briefing?$75
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 21?$69
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$69
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$68
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?$61
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?$50
Top Losers
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?$-319
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$-292
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$-290
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$-200
Will Trump say "UFC" this week?$-200
Will Trump say "Six Seven" in April?$-200
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 15?$-110
Will Starmer say "Thank" 5+ times during the next PMQ?$-107
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?$-96
Will Trump post "Terrorist" on Truth Social this week?$-60
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.029
Sortino
-0.028
HHI
445
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.016
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.7%
Top-5 markets
39.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.7h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.8
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 812s — normal for humanCV 1.52 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.94
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)19.3%
Mid (20-55c)23.4%
High (>55c)57.2%
Sessions
#127/30/2026, 8:39:39 PM12 trades$1,2774 min
4/15/2026, 12:16:22 PM9 trades$1,0035 min
4/17/2026, 9:02:52 AM2 trades$8580 min
5/22/2026, 8:49:09 AM9 trades$7992 min
4/6/2026, 12:21:39 AM14 trades$7493 min
7/26/2026, 3:17:49 PM12 trades$7431 min
4/17/2026, 10:38:44 AM3 trades$6820 min
4/8/2026, 6:21:11 PM7 trades$6161 min
4/7/2026, 9:40:59 PM17 trades$5943 min
5/21/2026, 8:59:27 AM4 trades$5190 min
3/31/2026, 6:27:21 PM1 trades$4330 min
7/26/2026, 12:04:42 PM16 trades$4201 min
3/30/2026, 9:32:35 PM2 trades$3980 min
5/28/2026, 9:02:53 PM3 trades$3620 min
6/20/2026, 9:42:41 PM10 trades$3552 min
5/26/2026, 2:06:21 PM15 trades$3540 min
5/14/2026, 8:45:38 PM2 trades$3330 min
7/23/2026, 11:36:54 AM3 trades$3180 min
4/4/2026, 12:02:27 AM7 trades$3181 min
3/20/2026, 9:14:33 AM3 trades$2996 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-01
03-18
03-30
04-09
05-22
06-14
07-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 63 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
62.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.94/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.3 / M23.4 / H57.2