@Dolbyd

#2,876,20610

0x25a5ce40e04629b1e2e63b4c5959d4ea40da0740

~17d· 21 markets · 96 tradesVol: $29,5972026-08-04 22:10:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (5/15)1.7/20
0.19x (win $166 / loss $885)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -10.6450/15
Sortino -9.5550/10
$-0.1971 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1064 (15 markets)7.2/10
4/12 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 533% of peak ($885 / $166)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
51% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#1,441,726$-38Vol: $23,488
⚽ SPORTS#1,703,844$-128Vol: $4,659

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-617
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$29,597
Total Redeem
$1,144
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
61B / 35S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
5W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-617
Win Rate
33%
5W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.19x
Avg Win
$33
Avg Loss
$-89

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $141 (0.22774826715035304% of PnL)

Top Winners

NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$64
Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)$49
Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)$27
Spread: CSyD Macará (-1.5)$15
Spread: AFC Unirea Slobozia (-1.5)$11

Top Losers

US x China tariff agreement by June 30?$-213
Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?$-162
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?$-125
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?$-124
Spread: Hong Kong SAR (-2.5)$-82
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$-73
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5$-56
Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 0.5$-41
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?$-11
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.533
Sortino
-0.582
HHI
898
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.230
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.4%
Top-5 markets
61.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
60%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
37
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 78s — normal for humanCV 1.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)60% night trades — never sleeps10/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal70% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)50.8%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)49.2%

Sessions

#12
6/9/2026, 3:13:00 AM6 trades$1,0112 min
6/6/2026, 6:44:27 AM6 trades$1,0102 min
7/11/2026, 2:50:59 AM4 trades$8700 min
7/11/2026, 5:37:47 AM4 trades$8601 min
6/27/2026, 7:38:10 AM4 trades$8201 min
6/27/2026, 5:31:14 AM4 trades$8001 min
7/30/2026, 8:18:02 AM4 trades$7820 min
6/16/2026, 5:52:28 AM4 trades$6300 min
6/21/2026, 5:25:55 AM4 trades$6100 min
5/11/2026, 10:59:57 AM2 trades$4850 min
6/27/2026, 7:03:46 AM3 trades$4350 min
4/26/2026, 5:41:10 AM2 trades$4320 min
4/16/2026, 6:07:54 AM2 trades$3810 min
4/16/2026, 7:13:22 AM2 trades$3600 min
4/11/2026, 6:24:21 AM2 trades$3550 min
4/15/2026, 9:06:36 AM2 trades$3530 min
4/16/2026, 6:58:02 AM2 trades$3521 min
4/11/2026, 6:57:23 AM1 trades$3190 min
4/8/2026, 4:46:35 AM2 trades$2160 min
4/11/2026, 1:43:33 AM1 trades$2110 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-11
04-16
05-11
06-07
06-09
06-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 61 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L50.8 / M0 / H49.2