@JakeBeez

#2,804,48233

0x25b910cf968a626438316b6ab7275ea6a5563058

~158d· 1189 markets · 6224 tradesVol: $147,6352026-08-04 19:59:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

63% (564/896)16.5/20
0.89x (win $2,342 / loss $2,645)1.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9380/15
Sortino -1.1420/10
$-0.0122 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 80 (896 markets)10/10
72/137 profitable days (53%)5.6/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($817 / $0)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 63%
Lottery Player
53% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 5.8 entries/market
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
100% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,595,423$-481Vol: $80,008
💰 FINANCE#11,137$236Vol: $27,690
🎭 CULTURE#789,157$-143Vol: $13,391
📈 ECONOMICS#654,527$-73Vol: $7,496
CRYPTO#725,800$-0Vol: $6,976
SPORTS#113,929$114Vol: $5,715
💻 TECH#214,363$-4Vol: $3,747
🌤️ WEATHER#36,846$3Vol: $2,074
📢 MENTIONS#47,290$0Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-352
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$147,635
Total Redeem
$61
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1189
total markets
Trades
3530B / 2694S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~158d

Periods

#2
Today
$-6
Vol: $371
Week
$-4
Vol: $968
Month
$-7
Vol: $968
All Time
$-352
Vol: $147,635

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
63%
564W / 332L events
Realized PnL
$-352
Win Rate
63%
564W / 332L
Profit Factor
0.89x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $247 (0.7010786261708771% of PnL)

Top Winners

US bank failure by March 31?$88
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$82
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?$76
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$76
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$72
Will Texas make the College Football Playoff?$68
Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of January 2026?$60
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?$58
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$52
Will Super Bowl LX have between 124M and 128M viewers?$43

Top Losers

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$-85
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$-73
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$-70
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?$-70
Brown and MIT shooters confirmed to be same person?$-68
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$-63
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?$-56
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?$-54
Will Trae Young be traded this season?$-50
Will Rizo Velovic win Survivor season 49?$-48

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.049
Sortino
-0.047
HHI
53
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.015
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.6%
Top-5 markets
10.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
23.8
Active
Markets / Day
4.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
34.9m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 768s — normal for humanCV 1.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock24 trades/day — high frequency4.5 markets/day — normal100% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.76
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)53.1%
Mid (20-55c)25.6%
High (>55c)21.3%

Sessions

#12
12/22/2025, 11:13:43 PM41 trades$22042 min
12/19/2025, 8:16:55 AM10 trades$16411 min
1/5/2026, 3:58:33 AM4 trades$1637 min
1/2/2026, 5:14:15 PM4 trades$1541 min
1/11/2026, 3:19:38 AM2 trades$1364 min
1/10/2026, 7:10:26 PM4 trades$1335 min
11/28/2025, 6:01:37 PM2 trades$1265 min
1/9/2026, 7:35:14 PM6 trades$12515 min
1/13/2026, 3:36:33 PM3 trades$1228 min
1/12/2026, 12:25:54 PM5 trades$11610 min
1/14/2026, 12:23:00 PM2 trades$1133 min
1/3/2026, 7:58:01 AM4 trades$1129 min
1/12/2026, 6:47:43 PM2 trades$1102 min
1/9/2026, 11:51:20 PM2 trades$1073 min
1/21/2026, 6:54:34 AM3 trades$1064 min
1/10/2026, 10:46:08 PM5 trades$1051 min
1/3/2026, 7:12:53 PM4 trades$10512 min
12/21/2025, 6:38:10 PM6 trades$1049 min
12/29/2025, 6:35:29 PM16 trades$10222 min
12/28/2025, 7:46:51 PM6 trades$10213 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-16
12-14
01-05
01-27
02-18
03-12
04-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.76/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L53.1 / M25.6 / H21.3