@sebasti.eth

#112,10059

0x25ba1be76b995c74b8ba023366e429d85bc21eab

~56d· 441 markets · 2415 tradesVol: $40,1572026-08-04 19:47:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

26% (115/435)0/20
1.31x (win $2,379 / loss $1,821)6.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.59815/15
Sortino 5.65510/10
$+0.1425 per $1 invested7.1/10
HHI 141 (435 markets)10/10
22/46 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 42% of peak ($381 / $907)5.6/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+538
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
⚽ SPORTS#1,729,496$-172Vol: $32,515
🏛️ POLITICS#22,975$671Vol: $7,151
📢 MENTIONS#108,097$-4Vol: $370
🎭 CULTURE#33,296$43Vol: $120

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$538
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$40,157
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
441
total markets
Trades
1161B / 1254S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~56d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$538
Vol: $40,157

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
26%
115W / 320L events
Realized PnL
$538
Win Rate
26%
115W / 320L
Profit Factor
1.31x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $758 (1.410565476190476% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$368
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?$228
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$163
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$108
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$107
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner$81
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$77
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$63
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$60
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$53

Top Losers

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$-159
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$-80
Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-45
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?$-44
Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-35
Will Ivory Coast reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-30
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-30
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?$-29
Will Ivory Coast reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-28
Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-26

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.135
Sortino
0.279
HHI
168
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.131
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.1%
Top-5 markets
21.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
45.4m
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 230s — normal for humanCV 3.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.33
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)33.3%
Mid (20-55c)36.9%
High (>55c)29.8%

Sessions

#12
11/6/2024, 1:27:35 AM4 trades$7631 min
6/9/2026, 8:20:18 PM37 trades$53941 min
6/15/2026, 10:12:45 PM12 trades$41711 min
4/29/2025, 10:38:26 AM1 trades$3840 min
6/28/2026, 9:10:47 PM63 trades$2973 min
11/4/2024, 7:34:29 PM1 trades$2400 min
5/19/2026, 5:30:32 PM4 trades$2074 min
6/11/2026, 4:07:58 AM22 trades$20212 min
3/25/2025, 4:43:32 PM1 trades$2000 min
7/12/2026, 5:55:38 PM35 trades$18120 min
7/5/2026, 12:32:22 AM19 trades$16610 min
6/2/2025, 1:46:49 AM1 trades$1580 min
6/24/2026, 6:59:23 PM22 trades$1437 min
6/14/2026, 12:10:49 AM4 trades$1150 min
6/26/2026, 5:29:04 AM41 trades$11420 min
7/2/2026, 9:20:47 PM9 trades$1143 min
11/5/2024, 6:13:03 PM1 trades$1030 min
11/4/2024, 8:01:21 PM1 trades$1000 min
4/9/2025, 3:40:08 PM1 trades$1000 min
6/11/2026, 4:42:52 AM13 trades$1008 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-06
05-19
06-16
06-23
06-30
07-07
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 53 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.33/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L33.3 / M36.9 / H29.8