libanorix

@libanorix

#116,32733

0x25eb679737e3991a02b7d138542c73af80e20506

~96d· 283 markets · 2009 tradesVol: $92,4232026-08-04 22:48:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (147/258)13.5/20
0.87x (win $3,639 / loss $4,169)0.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8410/15
Sortino -0.9270/10
$-0.0138 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 144 (258 markets)10/10
47/71 profitable days (66%)9/10
Max DD 194% of peak ($1,587 / $818)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+497
DCA Master
Avg 7.5 entries/market
Consistent
47/71 profitable days
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#290,141$-179Vol: $72,447
🏛️ POLITICS#32,725$357Vol: $11,732
SPORTS#77,846$261Vol: $6,134
📈 ECONOMICS#16,627$59Vol: $2,110

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$497
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$92,423
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
283
total markets
Trades
1331B / 678S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~96d

Periods

#2
Today
$13
Vol: $0
Week
$18
Vol: $172
Month
$30
Vol: $475
All Time
$497
Vol: $92,423

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
147W / 111L events
Realized PnL
$497
Win Rate
57%
147W / 111L
Profit Factor
0.87x
Avg Win
$25
Avg Loss
$-46

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $795 (1.5974506413607301% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?$325
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$239
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?$230
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$175
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 29?$151
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$144
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 10?$121
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on April 25?$116
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 27?$93
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$69

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on May 11?$-916
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-720
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C or below on May 15?$-447
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on March 25?$-232
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$-150
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-139
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or higher on March 28?$-99
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 28?$-93
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?$-82
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 25?$-78

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.044
Sortino
-0.031
HHI
159
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.014
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.5%
Top-5 markets
18.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 206s — normal for humanCV 2.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — normal1.3 markets/day — normal67% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.47
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.1%
Mid (20-55c)23%
High (>55c)50.9%

Sessions

#12
5/3/2026, 7:33:28 PM15 trades$1,6342 min
4/27/2026, 5:37:38 PM16 trades$1,3114 min
3/24/2026, 6:08:29 PM3 trades$1,0638 min
5/4/2026, 2:03:46 PM11 trades$9421 min
5/9/2026, 6:16:15 PM34 trades$91823 min
5/2/2026, 12:41:10 PM26 trades$86510 min
5/9/2026, 5:23:31 PM75 trades$76246 min
5/28/2026, 12:13:55 PM2 trades$7360 min
4/26/2026, 3:58:58 PM5 trades$7325 min
3/23/2026, 8:29:31 PM1 trades$7020 min
3/24/2026, 5:40:59 PM2 trades$6461 min
4/29/2026, 5:54:16 PM13 trades$6434 min
5/10/2026, 3:00:21 AM9 trades$6276 min
4/25/2026, 5:48:54 PM16 trades$6096 min
2/28/2026, 10:51:53 AM1 trades$5230 min
5/8/2026, 7:13:54 PM15 trades$5204 min
6/15/2026, 6:07:39 PM4 trades$4930 min
4/30/2026, 3:56:26 PM11 trades$4900 min
5/3/2026, 8:45:02 PM1 trades$4800 min
4/25/2026, 11:53:54 AM22 trades$4661 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-04
03-20
04-01
04-26
05-08
06-11
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 47 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
54% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.47/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.1 / M23 / H50.9