@ToTheMoon0915

#5,02564

0x25f4707c93e4bfdf26cd6c5cc46c5464691cf88e

~62d· 4641 markets · 152819 tradesVol: $2,700,243 @ToTheMoon09152026-08-04 19:45:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

64
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (2528/4630)12.3/20
1.07x (win $16,131 / loss $15,060)3.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.87915/15
Sortino 3.06910/10
$+0.0301 per $1 invested1.5/10
HHI 33 (4630 markets)10/10
37/61 profitable days (61%)7.7/10
Max DD 49% of peak ($833 / $1,697)4.2/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+33,807
Contrarian
51% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
6% sells
Consistent
37/61 profitable days
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
₿ CRYPTO#1,224$34,713Vol: $2,512,184
🏛️ POLITICS#1,590,249$-403Vol: $162,491
🎭 CULTURE#805,310$-485Vol: $9,590
⚽ SPORTS#318,264$6Vol: $7,383
📈 ECONOMICS#602,057$-10Vol: $4,898
💰 FINANCE#32,281$32Vol: $2,191
📢 MENTIONS#155,861$-49Vol: $1,077

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$33,807
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,700,243
Total Redeem
$159,459
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4641
total markets
Trades
7099B / 8559S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~62d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-4
Vol: $0
All Time
$33,807
Vol: $2,700,243

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
9033W / 6190L events
Realized PnL
$33,807
Win Rate
59%
9033W / 6190L
Profit Factor
1.07x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,157 (0.034215267607750205% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$545
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$405
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$207
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$145
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$118
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$110
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$106
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$94
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$81
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$80

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$-466
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?$-441
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?$-234
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?$-224
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-172
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-112
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$-96
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$-96
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$-95
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$-92

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.098
Sortino
0.108
HHI
91
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.026
Kelly %
6.1%
Half-Kelly
3.0%
Top-1 market
3.7%
Top-5 markets
17.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1317.4
Very active
Markets / Day
40.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
10.5m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
29 min
Avg Trades / Session
69.8

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 143s — normal for humanCV 2.47 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1317 trades/day — automation40 markets/day — mass coverage5% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.4
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.2%
Mid (20-55c)45.4%
High (>55c)49.4%

Sessions

#12
5/13/2026, 12:36:37 PM654 trades$3,311195 min
5/13/2026, 5:18:52 PM316 trades$1,379128 min
5/13/2026, 11:11:37 AM123 trades$81840 min
5/13/2026, 11:56:25 AM109 trades$71231 min
5/13/2026, 10:30:49 AM124 trades$69731 min
5/13/2026, 4:09:51 PM150 trades$69247 min
6/11/2026, 12:06:01 PM11 trades$6234 min
5/14/2026, 11:25:37 AM111 trades$58150 min
5/14/2026, 8:45:57 AM89 trades$49835 min
5/14/2026, 7:32:03 AM94 trades$49649 min
5/14/2026, 2:22:30 PM77 trades$46139 min
5/14/2026, 12:01:30 AM120 trades$44986 min
6/11/2026, 7:45:58 PM1 trades$4280 min
5/13/2026, 8:46:08 AM95 trades$39745 min
5/14/2026, 4:11:28 AM84 trades$38838 min
6/12/2026, 2:13:58 PM8 trades$3660 min
5/14/2026, 1:47:08 PM57 trades$36325 min
4/30/2026, 10:35:04 AM5 trades$3450 min
5/13/2026, 11:01:08 PM85 trades$34236 min
6/14/2026, 12:15:40 PM1 trades$3390 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-02
05-01
05-11
06-05
06-17
06-29
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 18 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.4/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.2 / M45.4 / H49.4