alexkrycek

@alexkrycek

#250,02328

0x26cd765db04e0fa44519aa2e4144deac5c6c5137

~13d· 15 markets · 64 tradesVol: $2,8602026-08-04 16:19:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (7/13)11.9/20
0.77x (win $209 / loss $270)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.2790/15
Sortino -1.3740/10
$-0.0241 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1355 (13 markets)5.7/10
7/10 profitable days (70%)10/10
Max DD 135% of peak ($270 / $201)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+93
Consistent
7/10 profitable days

Categories

3
SPORTS#138,092$76Vol: $2,296
🎭 CULTURE#82,962$6Vol: $381
💰 FINANCE#54,514$11Vol: $183

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$93
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,860
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
15
total markets
Trades
22B / 42S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

Periods

#2
Today
$61
Vol: $0
Week
$25
Vol: $515
Month
$27
Vol: $515
All Time
$93
Vol: $2,860

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
7W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$93
Win Rate
54%
7W / 6L
Profit Factor
0.77x
Avg Win
$30
Avg Loss
$-270

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $176 (1.8893548387096775% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$78
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$61
Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$36
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 17?$21
Will "Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$8
Will "Worst Neighbor Ever: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?$4
Will Iraq concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$0

Top Losers

Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-270

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.064
Sortino
-6150.000
HHI
940
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.027
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.9%
Top-5 markets
60.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.2h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
18
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.6

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3675s — normal for humanCV 0.69 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.23
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
8/2/2026, 12:59:57 PM12 trades$5571 min
7/19/2026, 7:19:09 PM2 trades$3810 min
6/30/2026, 11:34:40 PM6 trades$3631 min
7/18/2026, 1:22:39 AM5 trades$3280 min
6/30/2026, 6:29:52 PM2 trades$2290 min
7/25/2026, 9:07:40 AM2 trades$2280 min
7/20/2026, 8:55:49 AM3 trades$2080 min
7/19/2026, 6:46:55 PM1 trades$1910 min
7/13/2026, 8:18:07 PM7 trades$1900 min
7/14/2026, 11:55:26 PM4 trades$1830 min
7/11/2026, 4:32:07 PM3 trades$1710 min
7/8/2026, 9:40:07 PM2 trades$1620 min
7/7/2026, 5:56:01 PM1 trades$1240 min
6/27/2026, 12:19:04 PM2 trades$800 min
6/28/2026, 2:58:14 PM4 trades$142 min
6/27/2026, 11:30:07 PM4 trades$101 min
6/27/2026, 10:28:52 PM2 trades$70 min
6/28/2026, 11:52:41 AM2 trades$70 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-27
06-28
06-30
07-07
07-08
07-11
07-13
07-14
07-19
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.23/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100