@VoiceOfReasoning
#2,642,475310x26e81aa1d5f33922b02a60fcdae5cf3c4cbcbc94
~49d· 76 markets · 361 tradesVol: $10,9692026-08-04 18:10:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
57% (43/75)13.7/20
0.69x (win $1,119 / loss $1,618)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8010/15
Sortino -2.0160/10
$-0.0900 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 550 (75 markets)9.7/10
19/32 profitable days (59%)7.3/10
Max DD 327% of peak ($1,140 / $349)0/10
Badges
3DCA Master
Avg 5.6 entries/market
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#65,985$95Vol: $4,832
⚽ SPORTS#1,640,834$-73Vol: $1,741
💰 FINANCE#620,226$-53Vol: $1,729
🎭 CULTURE#756,804$-44Vol: $1,041
₿ CRYPTO#1,406,604$-57Vol: $927
📈 ECONOMICS#30,619$18Vol: $664
🌤️ WEATHER#267,141$-28Vol: $36
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-143
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,969
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
76
total markets
Trades
150B / 211S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~49d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
57%
43W / 32L events
Realized PnL
$-143
Win Rate
57%
43W / 32L
Profit Factor
0.69x
Avg Win
$26
Avg Loss
$-54
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $660 (4.6196344793781945% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$289
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$267
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$104
Will Lamine Yamal score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$74
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$57
Israel closes its airspace by June 12?$50
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$41
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?$29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$27
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$24
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-717
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-398
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$-138
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$-71
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$-56
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-49
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$-40
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$-18
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$-17
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$-16
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.093
Sortino
-0.075
HHI
1131
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.068
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.7%
Top-5 markets
59%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.9
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 474s — normal for humanCV 1.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.61
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)6%
Mid (20-55c)14%
High (>55c)80%
Sessions
#125/31/2026, 6:22:35 PM6 trades$8623 min
6/11/2026, 3:28:03 PM8 trades$3731 min
6/27/2026, 12:21:20 PM3 trades$3560 min
6/12/2026, 1:45:15 AM4 trades$3403 min
6/30/2026, 1:00:35 PM2 trades$2970 min
4/28/2026, 8:13:14 AM10 trades$2802 min
4/30/2026, 6:25:06 PM2 trades$2410 min
5/27/2026, 2:25:11 PM2 trades$2240 min
6/26/2026, 10:35:31 AM7 trades$2210 min
6/29/2026, 3:48:25 PM4 trades$2170 min
6/11/2026, 1:34:00 PM8 trades$2050 min
6/5/2026, 4:11:54 AM2 trades$2010 min
6/11/2026, 6:05:36 PM4 trades$2010 min
6/11/2026, 7:56:34 PM3 trades$2000 min
6/5/2026, 8:13:42 AM2 trades$1990 min
6/2/2026, 6:58:12 PM4 trades$1990 min
6/30/2026, 5:11:31 PM3 trades$1960 min
5/6/2026, 5:30:24 AM6 trades$1954 min
6/27/2026, 11:50:05 AM6 trades$1790 min
6/11/2026, 7:50:34 PM4 trades$1710 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-01
03-08
04-14
05-07
06-09
06-29
07-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 7 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.61/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6 / M14 / H80