@rb50
#127,253790x270a34538f7c315f01cc751a5d88557751604246
~39d· 87 markets · 463 tradesVol: $37,6842026-08-05 16:39:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
79
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
45% (38/85)7.4/20
2.54x (win $3,830 / loss $1,510)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.84215/15
Sortino 30.73410/10
$+0.1995 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1072 (85 markets)7.1/10
15/32 profitable days (47%)4.2/10
Max DD 17% of peak ($395 / $2,320)10/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+406
Cool Head
Max DD 17%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
7💻 TECH#1,461$941Vol: $21,163
💰 FINANCE#645,227$-266Vol: $11,004
⚽ SPORTS#1,717,455$-149Vol: $2,965
🏛️ POLITICS#1,487,526$-64Vol: $1,245
🎭 CULTURE#754,119$-40Vol: $707
📈 ECONOMICS#530,982$-2Vol: $400
₿ CRYPTO#1,196,220$-13Vol: $201
Overview
#1Net PnL
$406
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$37,684
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
87
total markets
Trades
274B / 189S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~39d
Periods
#2Today
$-519
Vol: $1,556
Week
$-506
Vol: $1,956
Month
$-611
Vol: $2,391
All Time
$406
Vol: $37,684
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
45%
38W / 47L events
Realized PnL
$406
Win Rate
45%
38W / 47L
Profit Factor
2.54x
Avg Win
$101
Avg Loss
$-34
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,884 (7.109174718990336% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?$1,653
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?$865
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$366
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$239
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$95
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$92
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?$75
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$72
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$69
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in June?$59
Top Losers
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?$-534
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?$-191
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?$-102
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$-84
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-46
No one announced as next James Bond?$-44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$-40
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?$-37
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$-36
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.198
Sortino
1.413
HHI
1382
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.202
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
31.1%
Top-5 markets
66.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
19.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1164s — normal for humanCV 3.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal55% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.95
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)12%
Mid (20-55c)34.7%
High (>55c)53.3%
Sessions
#127/1/2026, 8:06:04 AM1 trades$2,3870 min
6/26/2026, 5:34:28 PM23 trades$9830 min
6/26/2026, 5:16:11 PM5 trades$8201 min
7/8/2026, 4:07:52 AM4 trades$7235 min
6/25/2026, 2:53:55 PM4 trades$7232 min
6/26/2026, 5:56:59 PM4 trades$5197 min
6/30/2026, 5:54:41 PM5 trades$4370 min
7/9/2026, 1:12:38 AM3 trades$4304 min
6/14/2026, 5:25:34 PM7 trades$4111 min
6/28/2026, 10:51:16 PM6 trades$3970 min
6/26/2026, 5:02:49 PM22 trades$3723 min
6/25/2026, 9:33:16 PM1 trades$3220 min
6/27/2026, 8:04:08 AM10 trades$2960 min
6/27/2026, 8:10:05 PM7 trades$2910 min
7/1/2026, 5:38:47 AM9 trades$2852 min
6/30/2026, 11:07:04 PM4 trades$2750 min
6/27/2026, 8:04:05 PM6 trades$2630 min
6/25/2026, 2:31:32 PM1 trades$2490 min
7/1/2026, 12:00:10 AM2 trades$2400 min
7/3/2026, 3:39:32 AM3 trades$2350 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-07
03-16
03-25
06-18
06-23
06-29
07-21
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 109 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.95/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12 / M34.7 / H53.3