@nicolemayer
#2,737,714590x27175ee6c528bd38b7a6ecca62c6403f6a7966f4
~53d· 25 markets · 891 tradesVol: $150,8522026-08-06 08:00:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
11% (2/18)0/20
3.50x (win $2,094 / loss $599)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.98415/15
Sortino 28.04910/10
$+0.3392 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 3040 (18 markets)0/10
1/12 profitable days (8%)0/10
Max DD 26% of peak ($428 / $1,666)8.9/10
Badges
4Lottery Player
81% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 26%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
85% maker orders
Categories
2🏛️ POLITICS#1,570,130$-231Vol: $150,214
₿ CRYPTO#401,699$1Vol: $638
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-230
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$150,852
Total Redeem
$10
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
741B / 150S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~53d
Periods
#2Today
$-19
Vol: $0
Week
$105
Vol: $6,750
Month
$158
Vol: $6,750
All Time
$-230
Vol: $150,852
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
11%
2W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$-230
Win Rate
11%
2W / 16L
Profit Factor
3.5x
Avg Win
$1,047
Avg Loss
$-37
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,094 (9.112266655062879% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1,677
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$418
Top Losers
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$-157
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?$-142
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-130
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$-69
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$-24
Iran leadership change by March 13?$-11
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$-10
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$-10
Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?$-10
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?$-10
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.200
Sortino
1.698
HHI
1267
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.563
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
33.9%
Top-5 markets
53.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
4.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
48.6m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.5
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 432s — normal for humanCV 2.54 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal85% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
15.89
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)81.4%
Mid (20-55c)2.2%
High (>55c)16.5%
Sessions
#127/25/2026, 10:06:28 PM18 trades$3,1937 min
4/1/2026, 9:21:29 PM7 trades$8089 min
7/25/2026, 11:42:21 PM9 trades$7973 min
4/1/2026, 10:21:13 PM8 trades$5932 min
4/7/2026, 10:49:39 PM10 trades$46512 min
6/9/2026, 8:27:34 AM26 trades$4394 min
7/8/2026, 1:08:58 PM9 trades$4300 min
6/7/2026, 8:15:13 PM13 trades$3875 min
4/7/2026, 10:37:27 PM5 trades$3847 min
4/2/2026, 1:17:53 AM2 trades$3430 min
4/7/2026, 9:03:47 PM26 trades$31414 min
4/1/2026, 8:59:21 PM2 trades$2780 min
4/7/2026, 9:39:51 PM12 trades$2349 min
8/5/2026, 2:08:59 PM2 trades$2000 min
7/16/2026, 3:36:59 PM20 trades$1852 min
4/7/2026, 11:40:09 PM2 trades$1780 min
7/3/2026, 2:11:50 PM16 trades$1649 min
7/25/2026, 8:38:21 PM1 trades$1540 min
4/1/2026, 10:30:55 PM12 trades$12711 min
5/30/2026, 2:05:29 PM1 trades$1180 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-15
01-27
01-31
03-09
04-07
07-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.89/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L81.4 / M2.2 / H16.5