mhknft

@mhknft

#2,985,70829

0x2770fbe6c4d2233659331b5a27fc37526531290b

~29d· 122 markets · 790 tradesVol: $127,725 @mhknft2026-08-05 01:01:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (67/122)12.5/20
0.94x (win $21,275 / loss $22,705)1.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7570/15
Sortino -1.0250/10
$-0.0260 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 252 (122 markets)10/10
14/28 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 610% of peak ($5,343 / $875)0/10

Badges

4
DCA Master
Avg 7.9 entries/market
Whale
$55,001 invested
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,850,349$-1,787Vol: $126,847
💰 FINANCE#122,878$1Vol: $878

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,786
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$127,725
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
122
total markets
Trades
298B / 492S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
67W / 55L events
Realized PnL
$-1,786
Win Rate
55%
67W / 55L
Profit Factor
0.94x
Avg Win
$318
Avg Loss
$-445

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,769 (3.2299030778792477% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$3,107
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$1,348
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?$1,314
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$734
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$733
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$693
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$653
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$567
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$536
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$515

Top Losers

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 2.5$-3,105
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5$-1,532
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-1,326
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 1.5$-1,194
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$-1,193
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$-1,157
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$-883
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-787
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?$-773
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$-758

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.039
Sortino
-0.047
HHI
356
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.022
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.8%
Top-5 markets
30.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.32
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 681s — normal for humanCV 1.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.89
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.7%
Mid (20-55c)25.2%
High (>55c)70.1%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2026, 5:18:25 PM4 trades$5,4100 min
6/21/2026, 11:29:47 PM15 trades$3,1745 min
7/5/2026, 5:04:43 PM7 trades$3,1460 min
6/15/2026, 3:36:31 PM24 trades$2,3723 min
6/25/2026, 10:03:32 PM2 trades$2,2700 min
6/23/2026, 2:06:11 AM4 trades$2,2081 min
6/20/2026, 6:59:32 PM4 trades$1,8712 min
6/22/2026, 12:17:47 AM2 trades$1,8380 min
6/27/2026, 12:14:28 AM7 trades$1,8331 min
6/20/2026, 2:32:35 AM2 trades$1,8180 min
6/19/2026, 9:51:35 PM8 trades$1,8032 min
6/23/2026, 4:44:43 AM10 trades$1,6623 min
6/20/2026, 12:00:32 AM2 trades$1,6480 min
6/17/2026, 9:43:13 AM19 trades$1,6452 min
6/19/2026, 6:13:20 PM9 trades$1,6384 min
6/20/2026, 11:45:20 PM8 trades$1,6247 min
6/21/2026, 10:18:55 PM13 trades$1,5768 min
6/23/2026, 5:02:22 AM2 trades$1,5540 min
6/26/2026, 3:12:34 AM12 trades$1,5413 min
6/21/2026, 7:31:53 PM11 trades$1,5223 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-28
06-09
06-13
06-17
06-21
06-25
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
62.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.89/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.7 / M25.2 / H70.1