AdjunctBias

@AdjunctBias

#3,062,70139

0x27e56917c5c7c5ae7662b85cf86c289bfc39fb20

~195d· 68 markets · 952 tradesVol: $226,6392026-08-05 17:29:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

78% (40/51)20/20
0.56x (win $7,311 / loss $13,138)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.0150/15
Sortino -2.1510/10
$-0.0347 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 792 (51 markets)8.5/10
27/33 profitable days (82%)10/10
Max DD 247% of peak ($10,244 / $4,144)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 78%
DCA Master
Avg 13.1 entries/market
Whale
$168,059 invested
Consistent
27/33 profitable days
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
74% maker orders

Categories

3
📈 ECONOMICS#683,186$-12,500Vol: $172,652
💰 FINANCE#5,837$615Vol: $25,815
🏛️ POLITICS#43,060$213Vol: $24,748

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-11,766
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$226,639
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
68
total markets
Trades
744B / 208S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~195d

Periods

#2
Today
$-188
Vol: $0
Week
$2,808
Vol: $0
Month
$523
Vol: $7,205
All Time
$-11,766
Vol: $226,639

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
78%
40W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-11,406
Win Rate
78%
40W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.56x
Avg Win
$183
Avg Loss
$-1,194

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,816 (0.4222618124940819% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?$3,148
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?$1,142
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.8% by March 31?$526
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.6% by March 31?$348
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?$328
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$322
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?$228
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 5.0% by March 31?$188
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?$141
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?$129

Top Losers

Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?$-7,843
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?$-3,236
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be greater than 3.5%?$-1,346
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$-457
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$-135
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?$-43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?$-34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?$-17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$-14
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1500.00 or higher on December 31 2025?$-9

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.104
Sortino
-0.054
HHI
413
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.049
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.2%
Top-5 markets
36.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
41.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2466s — normal for humanCV 1.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal74% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.14
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.1%
Mid (20-55c)2.8%
High (>55c)96.1%

Sessions

#12
4/8/2026, 2:15:07 AM18 trades$6,3293 min
8/1/2026, 1:01:51 AM8 trades$5,2121 min
7/31/2026, 9:23:17 PM9 trades$4,7471 min
10/17/2025, 9:58:23 AM2 trades$4,5871 min
10/17/2025, 6:53:27 AM1 trades$4,5730 min
1/21/2026, 12:20:18 AM7 trades$4,1094 min
3/30/2026, 10:23:02 AM2 trades$3,9940 min
1/22/2026, 3:31:48 AM6 trades$3,9505 min
10/30/2025, 1:15:45 PM1 trades$3,6040 min
7/23/2026, 3:22:52 PM4 trades$3,3400 min
2/6/2026, 12:38:41 AM2 trades$3,3140 min
9/25/2025, 8:23:30 AM5 trades$3,2282 min
3/3/2026, 8:34:05 PM2 trades$3,2202 min
3/1/2026, 1:08:17 AM3 trades$2,8116 min
10/29/2025, 10:29:05 PM1 trades$2,3750 min
10/26/2025, 12:35:59 PM1 trades$2,3500 min
1/14/2026, 6:47:14 PM6 trades$2,1052 min
4/2/2026, 4:44:01 PM2 trades$1,9861 min
5/15/2026, 9:37:47 PM5 trades$1,9250 min
2/28/2026, 2:13:19 PM8 trades$1,91417 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-25
12-11
02-22
03-02
03-18
04-08
06-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 21 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.14/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.1 / M2.8 / H96.1