@dragonroar

#2,635,46433

0x2849f88225b51b519b292c02fd07b3554b0a0329

~69d· 710 markets · 1453 tradesVol: $11,5482026-08-04 23:28:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

63% (433/688)16.5/20
0.89x (win $1,196 / loss $1,339)1.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.2600/15
Sortino -2.7410/10
$-0.0357 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 20 (688 markets)10/10
34/67 profitable days (51%)5.2/10
Max DD 971% of peak ($201 / $21)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 63%
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#36,615$3Vol: $3,643
SPORTS#1,658,108$-86Vol: $2,504
💰 FINANCE#623,809$-63Vol: $2,274
📢 MENTIONS#7,839$66Vol: $1,428
🏛️ POLITICS#324,267$1Vol: $542
🎭 CULTURE#756,059$-43Vol: $324
📈 ECONOMICS#84,989$2Vol: $48
💻 TECH#185,194$-1Vol: $39
CRYPTO#1,117,262$-8Vol: $34

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-138
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,548
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
710
total markets
Trades
882B / 571S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~69d

Periods

#2
Today
$9
Vol: $81
Week
$10
Vol: $262
Month
$-9
Vol: $305
All Time
$-138
Vol: $11,548

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
63%
433W / 255L events
Realized PnL
$-138
Win Rate
63%
433W / 255L
Profit Factor
0.89x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $42 (0.30588235294117655% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?$19
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the France vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?$12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 27?$11
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-24?$11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$11
Will Warsh say "Spending" during July Press Conference?$11
Cabo Verde to score first vs. Saudi Arabia?$10
France to score first vs. Spain?$10

Top Losers

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-37
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$-20
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the England vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?$-16
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 3?$-13
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 27?$-12
Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 3 Belgium?$-12
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 27?$-12
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 27?$-12
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$-12
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.117
Sortino
-0.141
HHI
17
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.037
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.5%
Top-5 markets
2.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
17.3
Active
Markets / Day
8.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.33
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.8

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 603s — normal for humanCV 0.33 — uniform order sizes20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock17 trades/day — very active8.5 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.02
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.3%
Mid (20-55c)5.8%
High (>55c)93.9%

Sessions

#12
6/18/2026, 2:50:20 PM39 trades$2903 min
7/20/2026, 12:59:34 PM44 trades$1465 min
5/17/2026, 6:24:02 PM20 trades$1212 min
6/26/2026, 5:57:37 PM24 trades$11110 min
6/9/2026, 1:21:46 PM28 trades$8516 min
6/17/2026, 2:32:30 AM24 trades$8142 min
5/18/2026, 1:37:46 AM12 trades$801 min
6/5/2026, 1:27:55 PM19 trades$695 min
6/18/2026, 10:52:58 PM10 trades$655 min
7/19/2026, 5:39:39 PM15 trades$632 min
5/17/2026, 1:57:49 AM8 trades$540 min
7/14/2026, 7:12:01 PM12 trades$5315 min
7/14/2026, 8:12:52 PM6 trades$491 min
6/16/2026, 5:01:17 PM11 trades$446 min
5/20/2026, 2:32:24 PM6 trades$430 min
8/2/2026, 4:26:36 AM7 trades$381 min
6/16/2026, 7:28:14 PM9 trades$3716 min
6/9/2026, 2:44:07 PM10 trades$357 min
6/9/2026, 4:04:09 PM9 trades$348 min
5/17/2026, 5:35:52 PM9 trades$331 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-12
05-23
06-05
06-19
07-03
07-16
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 50 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
20% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.02/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.3 / M5.8 / H93.9