SaucePolly1

@SaucePolly1

#3,052,43428

0x2869efa18cb55b1d8e9a5a607b90f33044bb527d

~137d· 6850 markets · 47341 tradesVol: $917,9342026-08-04 21:04:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (3369/6439)11.2/20
0.84x (win $19,583 / loss $23,366)0.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.1590/15
Sortino -3.6770/10
$-0.0166 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 18 (6439 markets)10/10
73/128 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 419% of peak ($5,128 / $1,224)0/10

Badges

8
Contrarian
59% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
6% sells
DCA Master
Avg 7.1 entries/market
Whale
$227,675 invested
High Roller
$1,508/day
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
94% maker orders

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#299,228$-5,652Vol: $767,560
🏛️ POLITICS#1,507,666$-88Vol: $52,374
CRYPTO#1,633,685$-1,437Vol: $44,219
SPORTS#1,723,317$-162Vol: $24,422
🎭 CULTURE#19,795$108Vol: $13,415
💰 FINANCE#600,439$-23Vol: $11,183
📈 ECONOMICS#36,545$13Vol: $2,478
💻 TECH#218,618$-5Vol: $160
📢 MENTIONS#47,733$0Vol: $25

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-7,247
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$917,934
Total Redeem
$9,377
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
6850
total markets
Trades
44521B / 2820S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~137d

Periods

#2
Today
$5
Vol: $100
Week
$21
Vol: $466
Month
$15
Vol: $626
All Time
$-7,247
Vol: $917,934

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
3369W / 3070L events
Realized PnL
$-7,247
Win Rate
52%
3369W / 3070L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,060 (0.14623514362712833% of PnL)

Top Winners

Dogecoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$495
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$389
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 80-84 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$175
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$166
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$143
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$137
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$132
Will LD Alajuelense win on 2026-04-12?$131
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?$109
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$102

Top Losers

Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$-1,193
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$-307
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on April 28?$-296
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$-245
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C or higher on April 25?$-216
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 27?$-200
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on April 28?$-200
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on April 28?$-200
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 27?$-198
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)$-197

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.165
Sortino
-0.145
HHI
6
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.017
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.1%
Top-5 markets
2.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
313.5
Very active
Markets / Day
45.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
35s
between trades
Avg Gap
4.3m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
213 min
Avg Trades / Session
410.5

Bot Detection

#6
85
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 35s — normal for humanCV 3.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock314 trades/day — automation45 markets/day — mass coverage94% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.14
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28.2%
Mid (20-55c)30.5%
High (>55c)41.3%

Sessions

#12
5/2/2026, 10:22:48 PM1625 trades$8,957426 min
4/9/2026, 8:24:05 PM6 trades$8,8800 min
5/8/2026, 11:33:47 AM1676 trades$5,485732 min
5/6/2026, 9:32:15 PM2183 trades$4,8221193 min
5/6/2026, 7:25:14 AM1533 trades$4,392702 min
4/29/2026, 11:21:10 AM665 trades$3,766366 min
5/1/2026, 11:35:42 AM659 trades$3,484342 min
5/3/2026, 10:49:12 AM674 trades$3,207296 min
4/28/2026, 4:41:36 PM381 trades$3,041185 min
4/15/2026, 4:52:10 AM4 trades$2,6641 min
4/6/2026, 2:47:01 AM35 trades$2,5221 min
5/5/2026, 11:47:30 AM867 trades$2,517354 min
4/27/2026, 11:01:12 AM505 trades$2,416286 min
4/26/2026, 6:34:18 PM328 trades$2,299230 min
5/3/2026, 6:00:38 PM472 trades$2,288263 min
5/1/2026, 4:40:36 AM438 trades$2,256263 min
5/5/2026, 3:35:10 AM726 trades$2,204305 min
4/30/2026, 11:52:54 PM385 trades$2,040282 min
4/30/2026, 10:45:26 AM411 trades$1,867278 min
5/10/2026, 3:41:53 PM705 trades$1,856460 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-06
03-30
04-22
05-13
06-06
07-03
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 71 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
42% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.14/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L28.2 / M30.5 / H41.3