@0x28746f…8341

#2,199,2018

0x28746f4e3d8be4fc1e46ba26d5b4e1fda1da4736

~20d· 22 markets · 124 tradesVol: $8,0892026-08-04 21:03:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

18% (4/22)0/20
0.87x (win $854 / loss $984)0.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8910/15
Sortino -1.9460/10
$-0.0816 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1055 (22 markets)7.2/10
4/16 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 124% of peak ($672 / $542)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
💻 TECH#252,628$-183Vol: $3,264
⚽ SPORTS#1,297,245$-8Vol: $3,061
💰 FINANCE#10,101$277Vol: $1,365
₿ CRYPTO#1,435,780$-75Vol: $208
🏛️ POLITICS#1,444,191$-40Vol: $192

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-29
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,089
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
22
total markets
Trades
36B / 88S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
18%
4W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$-29
Win Rate
18%
4W / 18L
Profit Factor
0.87x
Avg Win
$213
Avg Loss
$-82

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $852 (29.152188782489745% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$607
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$128
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$117
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?$1

Top Losers

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 24, 2026?$-171
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?$-145
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?$-130
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$-100
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-100
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?$-94
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-83
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$-67
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 10?$-50
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.045
Sortino
-0.148
HHI
1561
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.065
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
28.5%
Top-5 markets
72.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.5h
between trades
Night Trading
46%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
27
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1030s — normal for humanCV 1.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)46% night trades — never sleeps14/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.73
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)33.3%
Mid (20-55c)22.2%
High (>55c)44.4%

Sessions

#12
7/12/2026, 2:45:31 AM16 trades$8880 min
6/10/2026, 4:32:43 AM2 trades$7460 min
7/17/2026, 5:50:58 AM17 trades$4490 min
6/25/2026, 5:32:19 AM8 trades$4130 min
4/26/2026, 4:46:58 PM6 trades$3570 min
7/1/2026, 6:05:28 AM4 trades$2500 min
6/12/2026, 2:40:45 PM4 trades$2250 min
7/15/2026, 5:21:34 AM6 trades$2032 min
7/8/2026, 5:01:56 AM2 trades$1640 min
6/25/2026, 9:07:41 AM8 trades$1460 min
7/5/2026, 6:15:08 AM12 trades$1214 min
7/1/2026, 5:48:28 AM2 trades$1090 min
6/15/2026, 4:38:51 PM5 trades$1014 min
6/17/2026, 9:45:37 AM7 trades$841 min
6/11/2026, 6:59:34 AM2 trades$790 min
2/10/2026, 12:11:41 PM1 trades$500 min
7/16/2026, 12:36:16 AM2 trades$490 min
6/11/2026, 4:18:34 PM2 trades$360 min
6/9/2026, 7:22:28 AM2 trades$270 min
3/1/2026, 7:51:57 PM1 trades$200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-10
03-04
06-10
06-17
07-01
07-08
07-12
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 35 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
71% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.73/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L33.3 / M22.2 / H44.4