@RaffaelBalasanyan

#2,831,19710

0x287ee316656f5824fec4db0770ab8d1a58c1cbf5

~33d· 174 markets · 903 tradesVol: $174,0512026-08-04 21:13:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

12% (20/172)0/20
0.62x (win $2,211 / loss $3,584)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.7680/15
Sortino -6.4570/10
$-0.2714 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 177 (172 markets)10/10
4/30 profitable days (13%)0/10
Max DD 271% of peak ($2,177 / $804)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
59% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,783,867$-385Vol: $172,692
🏛️ POLITICS#1,453,817$-45Vol: $1,021

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-435
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$174,051
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
174
total markets
Trades
370B / 533S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~33d

Periods

#2
Today
$-5
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $0
Month
$-13
Vol: $0
All Time
$-435
Vol: $174,051

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
12%
20W / 152L events
Realized PnL
$-435
Win Rate
12%
20W / 152L
Profit Factor
0.62x
Avg Win
$111
Avg Loss
$-29

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,248 (2.8664048504891824% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$557
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?$521
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$171
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-04?$157
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?$114
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$108
Will Peru win on 2026-06-05?$107
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$86
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$85
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-03?$61

Top Losers

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?$-454
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?$-285
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-247
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-191
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-130
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$-118
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-118
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$-112
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-85
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-84

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.245
Sortino
-0.398
HHI
707
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.180
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.2%
Top-5 markets
49.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
22.0
Active
Markets / Day
4.2
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 378s — normal for humanCV 1.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)37% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity22 trades/day — high frequency4.2 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.67
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)59.5%
Mid (20-55c)14.9%
High (>55c)25.7%

Sessions

#12
6/18/2026, 8:54:22 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/16/2026, 12:35:57 AM30 trades$7945 min
6/7/2026, 8:01:00 PM17 trades$6692 min
6/14/2026, 6:10:43 PM28 trades$65911 min
6/13/2026, 9:03:33 PM11 trades$6014 min
6/17/2026, 4:41:47 PM26 trades$57113 min
7/1/2026, 8:16:35 PM6 trades$5620 min
6/7/2026, 3:03:45 AM18 trades$4794 min
6/4/2026, 9:19:55 PM2 trades$4480 min
6/29/2026, 3:20:11 AM7 trades$4380 min
6/14/2026, 1:58:18 AM17 trades$3886 min
6/17/2026, 3:14:40 AM18 trades$36813 min
6/20/2026, 6:16:34 PM12 trades$3515 min
6/4/2026, 6:42:16 PM5 trades$3385 min
6/14/2026, 5:37:18 AM8 trades$3364 min
6/13/2026, 3:13:52 AM4 trades$3330 min
6/15/2026, 5:54:21 PM11 trades$2815 min
6/14/2026, 5:49:33 PM10 trades$2802 min
6/12/2026, 7:08:06 PM17 trades$27711 min
6/17/2026, 8:43:23 PM6 trades$2410 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-02
06-07
06-14
06-19
06-25
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 28 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.67/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L59.5 / M14.9 / H25.7