@xvosteg
#3,036,611100x28b22efe7f3fbe67b1d222e8fbf8a09961a0ff45
~56d· 92 markets · 630 tradesVol: $531,8452026-08-04 18:55:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
24% (22/92)0/20
0.60x (win $7,678 / loss $12,737)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.0420/15
Sortino -6.6190/10
$-0.1652 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 369 (92 markets)10/10
11/46 profitable days (24%)0/10
Max DD 1326% of peak ($5,471 / $413)0/10
Badges
3Lottery Player
65% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
74% maker orders
Categories
7₿ CRYPTO#21,574$1,846Vol: $151,303
📈 ECONOMICS#656,558$-84Vol: $140,142
🎭 CULTURE#807,148$-592Vol: $115,240
🏛️ POLITICS#1,631,093$-3,389Vol: $84,914
💰 FINANCE#626,257$-73Vol: $17,181
⚽ SPORTS#1,803,526$-580Vol: $11,556
📢 MENTIONS#175,422$-1,236Vol: $6,542
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-4,149
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$531,845
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
92
total markets
Trades
471B / 159S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~56d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
24%
22W / 70L events
Realized PnL
$-4,149
Win Rate
24%
22W / 70L
Profit Factor
0.6x
Avg Win
$349
Avg Loss
$-182
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,841 (0.9258207724974332% of PnL)
Top Winners
Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch?$1,355
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1,284
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$1,202
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?$898
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-11-26?$856
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?$685
Will PAS win a majority of seats in Moldova elections?$549
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$248
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3)$215
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?$90
Top Losers
Will Trump say "Thank" or "Thanks" 20+ times at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?$-916
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$-787
Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa not shake hands on November 10 2025?$-746
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?$-694
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$-609
Football.Fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?$-574
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$-572
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?$-549
Cavaliers vs. Raptors$-500
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?$-500
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.261
Sortino
-0.419
HHI
322
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.164
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.7%
Top-5 markets
30.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 92s — normal for humanCV 2.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal74% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 0:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.9
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)65%
Mid (20-55c)33.3%
High (>55c)1.7%
Sessions
#1210/9/2025, 12:08:36 PM12 trades$2,6536 min
11/25/2025, 3:06:53 PM2 trades$2,4850 min
11/27/2025, 12:15:01 AM87 trades$2,12648 min
11/24/2025, 2:23:09 PM6 trades$1,6560 min
1/11/2026, 6:54:56 PM2 trades$1,6373 min
11/24/2025, 4:01:59 PM8 trades$1,3802 min
12/1/2025, 12:21:56 PM1 trades$1,2840 min
1/7/2026, 7:04:17 PM4 trades$1,2616 min
6/26/2026, 12:56:40 PM10 trades$1,0840 min
10/9/2025, 1:04:32 PM10 trades$1,0156 min
10/9/2025, 9:20:10 PM15 trades$1,0159 min
1/19/2026, 5:55:00 PM1 trades$1,0140 min
12/1/2025, 3:42:04 AM1 trades$9800 min
11/24/2025, 3:22:59 PM1 trades$9200 min
9/28/2025, 8:04:39 PM4 trades$9094 min
12/1/2025, 4:15:38 PM3 trades$9013 min
1/10/2026, 4:17:48 PM1 trades$8900 min
1/15/2026, 7:58:08 PM2 trades$8291 min
11/10/2025, 9:01:34 PM1 trades$8170 min
1/13/2026, 8:23:12 PM1 trades$8010 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-04
11-10
11-28
12-13
01-10
01-20
02-03
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 260 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.9/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L65 / M33.3 / H1.7