@VolatilityVandal

#154,23448

0x2905f1e8e5611d6b4a8b2c9371ae64d37b38334f

~7d· 17 markets · 50 tradesVol: $6,3362026-08-04 21:13:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

48
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (9/16)13.1/20
2.47x (win $356 / loss $144)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.0613 per $1 invested3.1/10
HHI 1669 (16 markets)4.2/10
3/6 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 33% of peak ($104 / $313)7.4/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+265
Win Streak
7 wins in a row

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#34,783$319Vol: $6,156
🎭 CULTURE#138,213$2Vol: $100
⚽ SPORTS#1,608,252$-55Vol: $80

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$265
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,336
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
17
total markets
Trades
21B / 29S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~7d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$265
Vol: $6,336

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
9W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$265
Win Rate
56%
9W / 7L
Profit Factor
2.47x
Avg Win
$40
Avg Loss
$-36

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $345 (1.3036287429671867% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$226
Polish snap election called in 2025?$87
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?$32
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?$2
Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?$2
French election called by June 30, 2026?$2
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?$2
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Santa Clara County?$1
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%?$1

Top Losers

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$-110
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$-27
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?$-6
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.317
Sortino
0.592
HHI
1590
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.061
Kelly %
9.5%
Half-Kelly
4.8%
Top-1 market
25.1%
Top-5 markets
79.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
15
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 129s — normal for humanCV 1.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern10/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.06
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)4.8%
High (>55c)95.2%

Sessions

#12
6/1/2025, 9:11:05 PM4 trades$9323 min
6/11/2025, 1:02:21 PM1 trades$8650 min
6/21/2026, 3:49:43 PM12 trades$7797 min
6/1/2025, 6:44:13 PM1 trades$6370 min
6/2/2025, 5:42:38 AM1 trades$6260 min
6/1/2025, 6:55:13 PM1 trades$6070 min
6/1/2025, 8:17:35 PM1 trades$5000 min
6/1/2025, 5:24:21 PM2 trades$2024 min
7/12/2026, 1:29:02 PM3 trades$1250 min
6/22/2026, 4:46:52 AM5 trades$1232 min
6/21/2026, 6:46:58 PM9 trades$1072 min
6/1/2025, 4:34:53 PM4 trades$752 min
6/1/2025, 6:14:21 PM1 trades$500 min
6/1/2025, 6:00:33 PM1 trades$500 min
5/31/2025, 11:29:58 PM4 trades$43 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-31
06-01
06-02
06-11
06-21
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 375 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.06/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M4.8 / H95.2