@0x2921ba…1921

#2,680,86017

0x2921ba63ab2cdf4622623ab609ab415df2ac1706

~98d· 499 markets · 2936 tradesVol: $39,9612026-08-04 23:41:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (179/460)4.5/20
0.71x (win $2,277 / loss $3,192)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.4840/15
Sortino -3.9510/10
$-0.1493 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 85 (460 markets)10/10
31/78 profitable days (40%)2.4/10
Max DD 1857% of peak ($1,327 / $71)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
58% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
83% maker orders

Categories

8
⚽ SPORTS#1,748,323$-223Vol: $12,160
₿ CRYPTO#1,232,684$-17Vol: $9,146
🏛️ POLITICS#77,362$69Vol: $8,115
🌤️ WEATHER#255,813$-16Vol: $4,604
💰 FINANCE#605,493$-28Vol: $2,181
📈 ECONOMICS#621,481$-18Vol: $936
🎭 CULTURE#755,798$-43Vol: $289
📢 MENTIONS#88,873$-1Vol: $75

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-174
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$39,961
Total Redeem
$3,010
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
499
total markets
Trades
2140B / 796S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~98d

Periods

#2
Today
$30
Vol: $94
Week
$29
Vol: $337
Month
$100
Vol: $767
All Time
$-174
Vol: $39,961

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
179W / 280L events
Realized PnL
$-174
Win Rate
39%
179W / 280L
Profit Factor
0.71x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $410 (2.356058864106691% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$199
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$137
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$74
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner$61
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?$59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$45
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 20?$40
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$32
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$32

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-170
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-167
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-131
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$-117
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$-106
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 15?$-70
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$-62
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?$-56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-51

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.181
Sortino
-0.180
HHI
99
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.136
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.2%
Top-5 markets
13.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
23.1
Active
Markets / Day
3.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
49.1m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.9

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 376s — normal for humanCV 1.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock23 trades/day — high frequency3.9 markets/day — normal83% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.06
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.3%
Mid (20-55c)54.6%
High (>55c)42.1%

Sessions

#12
4/9/2026, 2:36:45 PM37 trades$22812 min
4/5/2026, 5:30:07 PM6 trades$1563 min
4/5/2026, 4:37:49 PM126 trades$15120 min
4/5/2026, 4:28:11 PM7 trades$1255 min
4/5/2026, 3:28:55 PM64 trades$12239 min
4/14/2026, 1:26:35 PM10 trades$1183 min
4/15/2026, 1:38:06 AM3 trades$1100 min
7/13/2026, 2:22:26 PM2 trades$950 min
4/5/2026, 4:14:59 PM2 trades$900 min
4/5/2026, 12:49:09 AM9 trades$850 min
4/15/2026, 2:57:44 PM18 trades$8021 min
5/9/2026, 11:43:25 PM20 trades$6831 min
6/19/2026, 5:18:08 AM13 trades$651 min
4/16/2026, 2:56:34 PM13 trades$628 min
4/5/2026, 5:03:53 PM4 trades$611 min
4/1/2026, 4:17:57 PM23 trades$553 min
4/5/2026, 5:09:59 PM14 trades$541 min
6/15/2026, 12:38:16 PM12 trades$514 min
4/17/2026, 2:45:48 AM9 trades$508 min
5/21/2026, 6:36:36 PM17 trades$5025 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-01
04-16
05-01
05-15
06-08
07-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 63 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.06/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.3 / M54.6 / H42.1