@Edisonfire

#2,933,31721

0x296344b641a5dcf4ee4b809c68ebf2f5741a046b

~15d· 49 markets · 133 tradesVol: $242,0692026-08-04 21:24:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (20/48)5.8/20
0.73x (win $2,269 / loss $3,120)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.0820/15
Sortino -3.2720/10
$-0.1247 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 555 (48 markets)9.7/10
7/14 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 149% of peak ($2,660 / $1,787)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
57% entries < $0.20

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#164,038$11Vol: $224,689
💰 FINANCE#651,675$-628Vol: $5,306
📈 ECONOMICS#671,499$-269Vol: $4,107
⚽ SPORTS#1,685,754$-104Vol: $3,341

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,053
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$242,069
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
49
total markets
Trades
86B / 47S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

Periods

#2
Today
$9
Vol: $997
Week
$9
Vol: $997
Month
$9
Vol: $997
All Time
$-1,053
Vol: $242,069

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
20W / 28L events
Realized PnL
$-1,053
Win Rate
42%
20W / 28L
Profit Factor
0.73x
Avg Win
$113
Avg Loss
$-111

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,979 (1.879687247646282% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$1,590
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$247
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$142
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?$63
Will Dell Technologies (DELL) beat quarterly earnings?$27
Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings?$27
Will MongoDB (MDB) beat quarterly earnings?$24
Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings?$22
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?$21
Will Walmart (WMT) beat quarterly earnings?$20

Top Losers

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$-744
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?$-336
Will Chewy (CHWY) beat quarterly earnings?$-292
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?$-200
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$-200
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-200
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?$-200
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?$-198
Will Alibaba (BABA) beat quarterly earnings?$-176
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$-127

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.105
Sortino
-0.201
HHI
632
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.110
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.2%
Top-5 markets
42.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
62%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 176s — normal for humanCV 1.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)62% night trades — never sleeps16/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.31
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)57%
Mid (20-55c)10.5%
High (>55c)32.6%

Sessions

#12
3/12/2026, 8:30:57 PM1 trades$9000 min
3/23/2026, 6:26:43 AM6 trades$8606 min
3/9/2026, 8:15:05 PM1 trades$8350 min
2/25/2026, 9:51:38 PM3 trades$5202 min
3/12/2026, 7:54:35 PM3 trades$5002 min
3/17/2026, 3:41:41 AM3 trades$5003 min
3/12/2026, 9:30:17 PM4 trades$4163 min
3/17/2026, 3:28:59 AM2 trades$4085 min
8/4/2026, 2:14:03 AM5 trades$3984 min
3/21/2026, 3:36:47 AM2 trades$3951 min
2/20/2026, 4:36:34 AM1 trades$3000 min
3/12/2026, 7:31:37 PM2 trades$3002 min
3/9/2026, 12:53:41 AM1 trades$2490 min
3/18/2026, 3:32:29 AM2 trades$2092 min
2/25/2026, 10:14:42 PM2 trades$1984 min
3/9/2026, 1:21:05 AM4 trades$1854 min
7/11/2026, 11:14:38 PM6 trades$1757 min
7/11/2026, 5:35:41 PM2 trades$1670 min
3/9/2026, 1:38:41 AM1 trades$1520 min
3/17/2026, 4:33:59 AM1 trades$1320 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-12
02-25
03-12
03-17
03-19
03-23
07-11
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 124 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.31/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L57 / M10.5 / H32.6