Sapire

@Sapire

#1,323,08411

0x2966123747c87bbbd01dc6ba34c76b032c8cedfe

~12d· 68 markets · 181 tradesVol: $5072026-08-04 20:59:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

26% (18/68)0/20
0.43x (win $1 / loss $1)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.7310/15
Sortino -3.8860/10
$-0.0025 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 441 (68 markets)10/10
4/12 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1 / $0)0/10

Categories

9
💰 FINANCE#471,067$-1Vol: $146
🎭 CULTURE#399,750$-0Vol: $108
₿ CRYPTO#724,360$-0Vol: $89
🏛️ POLITICS#615,442$-0Vol: $48
⚽ SPORTS#542,120$0Vol: $38
🌤️ WEATHER#159,406$-0Vol: $35
📈 ECONOMICS#270,892$0Vol: $21
💻 TECH#128,681$0Vol: $19
📢 MENTIONS#65,657$-0Vol: $4

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$507
Total Redeem
$4
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
68
total markets
Trades
66B / 115S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1
Vol: $507

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
26%
18W / 50L events
Realized PnL
$-1
Win Rate
26%
18W / 50L
Profit Factor
0.43x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $0 (0.22608695652173916% of PnL)

Top Winners

Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels$0
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$0
Will Cintas (CTAS) beat quarterly earnings?$0
Will BNY fail by June 30, 2026?$0
Will Solana dip to $10 in June?$0
Will "Shrill: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$0
Will Cornyn flip Paxton for Texas Rep Senate Primary Winner by March 2?$0
Will Salesforce run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?$0
U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?$0
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?$0

Top Losers

US bank failure by January 31?$-1
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave qualify for the 2026 World Chess Championship Candidates Tournament?$-0
BOA launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?$-0
Will "Hamilton" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $11m?$-0
Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$-0
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?$-0
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?$-0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 41°F or below on January 30?$-0
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 23 above $40?$-0
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.187
Sortino
-0.159
HHI
534
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.1%
Top-5 markets
39.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
16s
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0m
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
17
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 16s — normal for humanCV 0.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)39% night trades — never sleeps11/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal6% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.72
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
6/23/2026, 3:18:26 AM23 trades$1306 min
9/8/2025, 4:58:52 AM44 trades$1128 min
2/28/2026, 9:31:37 AM14 trades$6719 min
1/30/2026, 11:02:04 AM14 trades$428 min
3/25/2026, 5:56:45 AM5 trades$326 min
11/9/2025, 4:28:17 PM22 trades$2410 min
10/31/2025, 3:31:45 PM14 trades$247 min
3/25/2026, 11:18:33 AM5 trades$211 min
3/25/2026, 11:50:37 AM6 trades$144 min
12/2/2025, 10:29:44 AM18 trades$1211 min
2/8/2025, 8:06:30 AM8 trades$52 min
1/30/2026, 11:16:54 AM2 trades$20 min
1/17/2026, 8:07:38 AM2 trades$21 min
1/17/2026, 8:24:12 AM1 trades$10 min
12/28/2025, 3:25:31 PM1 trades$10 min
1/6/2026, 7:11:01 AM1 trades$10 min
1/6/2026, 7:20:31 AM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-08
10-31
12-02
01-06
01-30
03-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.72/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100