icepy.eth

@icepy.eth

#3,024,01680

0x2976935d4e0e3806f487c6c7c5a688c02fefdb15

~96d· 132 markets · 368 tradesVol: $86,447 @i_icepy2026-08-04 18:56:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

80
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

72% (84/116)20/20
1.58x (win $1,136 / loss $721)9.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.85615/15
Sortino 4.67910/10
$+0.0073 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 790 (116 markets)8.6/10
48/69 profitable days (70%)9.9/10
Max DD 38% of peak ($159 / $424)6.5/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 72%
Whale
$57,064 invested
Consistent
48/69 profitable days
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

7
₿ CRYPTO#1,661,576$-3,017Vol: $60,049
🏛️ POLITICS#54,493$137Vol: $13,083
📈 ECONOMICS#18,616$48Vol: $10,449
💰 FINANCE#646,518$-320Vol: $2,015
⚽ SPORTS#1,654,733$-84Vol: $425
🎭 CULTURE#57,153$15Vol: $330
💻 TECH#233,672$-17Vol: $73

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,059
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$86,447
Total Redeem
$3,167
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
132
total markets
Trades
202B / 166S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~96d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-3,059
Vol: $86,447

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
73%
85W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$-3,059
Win Rate
73%
85W / 31L
Profit Factor
1.58x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-29

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $316 (0.10321867859956264% of PnL)

Top Winners

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$136
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?$109
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?$70
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? $60
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$50
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?$37
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$35
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$34
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$34

Top Losers

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$-258
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$-100
Ethereum all time high in 2024?$-64
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-50
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?$-50
Ethereum above $3,900 on December 20?$-35
Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?$-20
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?$-20
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$-20
Will Trump remove tariff on Mexico before May?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.148
Sortino
0.165
HHI
515
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.008
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.7%
Top-5 markets
41%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.8h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 130s — normal for humanCV 2.78 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours22/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.51
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.5%
Mid (20-55c)6.4%
High (>55c)91.1%

Sessions

#12
6/3/2026, 5:26:58 PM48 trades$9,4591 min
12/31/2025, 10:04:27 AM2 trades$8,2612 min
12/31/2025, 10:45:27 AM2 trades$7,3061 min
12/30/2025, 3:13:23 PM1 trades$7,0020 min
1/6/2026, 2:01:47 PM9 trades$4,78513 min
3/25/2026, 4:08:05 AM3 trades$3,0345 min
6/24/2026, 1:49:53 PM14 trades$2,2323 min
12/30/2025, 11:09:27 AM3 trades$2,2043 min
12/31/2025, 11:31:27 AM2 trades$2,2004 min
1/30/2026, 3:33:08 AM4 trades$2,0403 min
5/11/2026, 1:56:33 AM3 trades$2,0000 min
1/1/2026, 8:44:07 AM1 trades$1,8680 min
4/30/2026, 4:32:10 PM9 trades$1,7680 min
3/25/2026, 4:18:51 AM2 trades$1,5764 min
1/30/2026, 10:21:00 AM1 trades$1,4430 min
5/1/2026, 3:12:44 PM4 trades$1,2160 min
3/30/2026, 5:35:10 AM1 trades$1,1540 min
7/1/2026, 12:37:22 PM2 trades$1,1470 min
4/1/2026, 2:09:31 PM20 trades$1,0340 min
4/1/2026, 1:59:53 PM10 trades$1,0250 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-15
03-19
10-18
11-13
01-08
04-11
07-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 274 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.51/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.5 / M6.4 / H91.1