@MrNob
#3,046,553780x2996cd9f472d6a44dd1cc3312e6288a1c14cfd9d
~67d· 2242 markets · 8476 tradesVol: $585,1402026-08-05 16:34:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
78
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
45% (976/2148)7.7/20
1.95x (win $37,359 / loss $19,125)14.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.03115/15
Sortino 25.15910/10
$+0.3825 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 54 (2148 markets)10/10
21/64 profitable days (33%)0.7/10
Max DD 17% of peak ($3,728 / $21,938)10/10
Badges
4Contrarian
73% entries < $0.55
Cool Head
Max DD 17%
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8₿ CRYPTO#1,664,870$-3,824Vol: $379,598
⚽ SPORTS#1,844,657$-1,494Vol: $174,542
🏛️ POLITICS#1,462,734$-49Vol: $14,082
🎭 CULTURE#711,323$-15Vol: $6,545
📈 ECONOMICS#591,853$-9Vol: $4,050
💰 FINANCE#543,099$-5Vol: $2,649
🌤️ WEATHER#237,069$-7Vol: $24
💻 TECH#173,854$-0Vol: $20
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-5,377
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$585,140
Total Redeem
$1,448
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2242
total markets
Trades
4490B / 3986S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~67d
Periods
#2Today
$184
Vol: $3,062
Week
$261
Vol: $11,454
Month
$261
Vol: $11,454
All Time
$-5,377
Vol: $585,140
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
45%
972W / 1172L events
Realized PnL
$-5,377
Win Rate
45%
972W / 1172L
Profit Factor
1.95x
Avg Win
$38
Avg Loss
$-17
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,970 (0.3663784847295807% of PnL)
Top Winners
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$872
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$612
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$486
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$486
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$451
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$439
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$427
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$392
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$366
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$348
Top Losers
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?$-1,242
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$-300
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$-249
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$-242
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$-237
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$-234
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$-231
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$-231
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$-210
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.157
Sortino
1.174
HHI
25
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.375
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.4%
Top-5 markets
4.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
56.5
Very active
Markets / Day
14.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
13.8m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
24 min
Avg Trades / Session
36.8
Bot Detection
#650
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 82s — normal for humanCV 2.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock57 trades/day — mass trading15 markets/day — mass coverage44% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.1
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)26.9%
Mid (20-55c)45.7%
High (>55c)27.4%
Sessions
#123/26/2026, 5:36:23 PM81 trades$9,032109 min
4/12/2026, 4:36:03 PM31 trades$7,7774 min
4/11/2026, 9:21:03 PM28 trades$5,7321 min
3/26/2026, 5:29:43 AM36 trades$3,69254 min
3/27/2026, 5:50:33 AM47 trades$3,30065 min
3/26/2026, 9:11:21 AM18 trades$3,24529 min
3/26/2026, 3:01:37 PM25 trades$3,22646 min
3/25/2026, 4:45:09 PM33 trades$2,07255 min
3/26/2026, 2:26:37 PM16 trades$1,73029 min
3/25/2026, 7:20:11 PM28 trades$1,60036 min
3/27/2026, 4:16:33 AM35 trades$1,59553 min
3/26/2026, 9:10:57 PM16 trades$1,54922 min
3/27/2026, 5:14:27 AM29 trades$1,49231 min
3/26/2026, 8:20:07 PM6 trades$1,4378 min
5/4/2026, 8:38:58 PM120 trades$1,43332 min
3/26/2026, 8:35:15 PM19 trades$1,41131 min
3/26/2026, 6:30:41 AM10 trades$1,35620 min
3/26/2026, 4:45:29 PM24 trades$1,31244 min
3/26/2026, 7:55:53 PM14 trades$1,29419 min
3/25/2026, 2:05:07 PM20 trades$1,26241 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-09
03-27
04-13
04-26
06-04
07-02
07-21
08-05
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 120 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.1/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L26.9 / M45.7 / H27.4