0x2F698eE622FE77Da565e47479C6AF6C660f1Cf59-1782312750937

@0x2F698e…0937

#125,7874

0x2f698ee622fe77da565e47479c6af6c660f1cf59

~27d· 21 markets · 514 tradesVol: $259,3602026-08-06 06:06:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

5% (1/20)0/20
0.17x (win $88 / loss $518)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -10.1390/15
Sortino -9.7460/10
$-0.3257 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1602 (20 markets)4.5/10
1/17 profitable days (6%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($430 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+478
Lottery Player
48% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

2
🎭 CULTURE#8,657$433Vol: $258,360
SPORTS#1,434,002$-17Vol: $1,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$416
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$259,360
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
251B / 263S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d

Periods

#2
Today
$-128
Vol: $2,300
Week
$-97
Vol: $40,876
Month
$-26
Vol: $45,191
All Time
$416
Vol: $259,360

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
5%
1W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$478
Win Rate
5%
1W / 19L
Profit Factor
0.17x
Avg Win
$88
Avg Loss
$-29

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $88 (0.18422043685664072% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$88

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$-165
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$-72
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$-59
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$-41
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$-35
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$-33
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$-26
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?$-21
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?$-16
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$-14

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.515
Sortino
-0.612
HHI
382
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.559
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.9%
Top-5 markets
35.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.0
Active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.1

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 381s — normal for humanCV 1.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active0.5 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.6
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)48.2%
Mid (20-55c)0.4%
High (>55c)51.4%

Sessions

#12
6/29/2026, 3:01:44 PM15 trades$6575 min
7/20/2026, 10:12:12 PM4 trades$5040 min
7/14/2026, 4:03:56 AM4 trades$4540 min
8/4/2026, 12:11:09 PM12 trades$4171 min
7/20/2026, 10:45:52 PM4 trades$4020 min
8/5/2026, 6:13:24 AM5 trades$3560 min
7/14/2026, 10:27:14 PM9 trades$3410 min
7/20/2026, 9:21:28 PM9 trades$3010 min
8/5/2026, 6:54:29 AM9 trades$2680 min
8/2/2026, 5:34:20 PM5 trades$2591 min
7/6/2026, 1:42:52 AM11 trades$2572 min
7/13/2026, 6:48:59 AM5 trades$2070 min
7/20/2026, 9:49:18 PM5 trades$2040 min
7/20/2026, 8:10:43 PM4 trades$2000 min
7/13/2026, 4:58:16 PM2 trades$2000 min
7/20/2026, 8:55:03 PM2 trades$2000 min
8/3/2026, 5:43:21 AM4 trades$2000 min
8/4/2026, 9:01:35 PM2 trades$1650 min
7/13/2026, 5:16:37 PM2 trades$1500 min
8/4/2026, 4:23:26 PM5 trades$1400 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-26
06-29
07-03
07-06
07-09
07-13
07-21
07-28
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.6/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L48.2 / M0.4 / H51.4