@0x2a3068…9981

#2,002,20772

0x2a3068f6b5cec3816077729517dcaf6b77109726

~26d· 94 markets · 508 tradesVol: $10,2022026-08-03 17:41:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

72
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (29/47)15.9/20
1.49x (win $1,139 / loss $764)8.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.64115/15
Sortino 6.22910/10
$+0.0970 per $1 invested4.8/10
HHI 324 (47 markets)10/10
12/20 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 67% of peak ($288 / $432)0.7/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,336,601$-15Vol: $7,020
⚽ SPORTS#990,137$-1Vol: $2,552
📈 ECONOMICS#376,196$-0Vol: $240

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-17
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,202
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
94
total markets
Trades
311B / 197S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~26d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-17
Vol: $10,202

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
29W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$-17
Win Rate
62%
29W / 18L
Profit Factor
1.49x
Avg Win
$39
Avg Loss
$-42

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $354 (21.475757575757576% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: FK Vardar Skopje (-1.5)$140
Set 1 Winner: Montgomery vs Minnen$126
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?$89
Will Trump praise Brett Kavanaugh by June 30?$78
Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals?$72
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$72
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$70
Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?$68
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by December 31, 2026?$66
Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5$47

Top Losers

Will Russia enter Svitle by September 30?$-239
Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in July 2026?$-64
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?$-61
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by September 30?$-57
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)$-49
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$-44
Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?$-38
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by December 31?$-34
Set 1 Winner: Boyer vs Izquierdo$-29
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by June 30?$-29

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.186
Sortino
0.268
HHI
105
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.177
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.1%
Top-5 markets
17.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.1
Active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.01
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 159s — normal for humanCV 1.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active2.2 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.8%
Mid (20-55c)8.7%
High (>55c)75.6%

Sessions

#12
6/14/2026, 7:35:10 AM4 trades$2151 min
7/6/2026, 6:00:08 PM4 trades$2041 min
6/29/2026, 9:22:50 AM3 trades$1851 min
6/29/2026, 5:13:40 AM5 trades$1800 min
6/14/2026, 9:34:16 PM3 trades$1351 min
6/9/2026, 5:45:10 PM4 trades$1161 min
6/10/2026, 9:00:21 AM5 trades$1081 min
7/15/2026, 5:19:46 AM7 trades$902 min
6/10/2026, 7:30:00 AM7 trades$881 min
6/20/2026, 4:33:01 AM7 trades$852 min
7/8/2026, 9:04:41 PM8 trades$794 min
7/15/2026, 1:54:17 AM3 trades$741 min
7/15/2026, 12:28:10 AM3 trades$742 min
6/20/2026, 7:18:47 AM3 trades$712 min
6/21/2026, 7:50:55 PM4 trades$702 min
7/9/2026, 3:07:29 AM3 trades$631 min
6/20/2026, 11:35:01 AM8 trades$633 min
7/20/2026, 1:37:09 AM7 trades$623 min
6/13/2026, 10:40:09 PM9 trades$612 min
6/10/2026, 8:14:15 PM7 trades$602 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-09
06-12
06-20
06-26
07-06
07-11
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 27 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.8 / M8.7 / H75.6