@itsjustcheddar
#12,189730x2a315a8d15cfde768bcd47ba5cacf3ef5894f2f0
~297d· 14170 markets · 76031 tradesVol: $2,743,5692026-08-04 21:25:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
73
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
84% (11439/13610)20/20
1.05x (win $172,609 / loss $163,911)3.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.90015/15
Sortino 2.93210/10
$+0.0046 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 5 (13610 markets)10/10
148/270 profitable days (55%)6.2/10
Max DD 29% of peak ($3,309 / $11,218)8.1/10
Badges
8Sniper
Win rate 84%
Profitable
PnL $+12,207
DCA Master
Avg 5.4 entries/market
Whale
$1,899,514 invested
High Roller
$3,485/day
Cool Head
Max DD 29%
Win Streak
45 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🎭 CULTURE#4,106$1,358Vol: $836,635
⚽ SPORTS#1,846,237$-1,507Vol: $466,576
🏛️ POLITICS#5,474$6,182Vol: $466,468
₿ CRYPTO#54,227$298Vol: $252,084
💰 FINANCE#2,432$1,932Vol: $220,200
📈 ECONOMICS#1,639$2,635Vol: $212,734
🌤️ WEATHER#1,903$797Vol: $157,720
💻 TECH#3,315$267Vol: $59,969
📢 MENTIONS#24,938$5Vol: $361
Overview
#1Net PnL
$12,258
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,743,569
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
14170
total markets
Trades
66003B / 10028S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~297d
Periods
#2Today
$27
Vol: $4,945
Week
$58
Vol: $16,027
Month
$5
Vol: $21,475
All Time
$12,258
Vol: $2,743,569
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
84%
11439W / 2171L events
Realized PnL
$12,207
Win Rate
84%
11439W / 2171L
Profit Factor
1.05x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-80
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,860 (0.5619541086744599% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$2,563
Will the government shutdown end November 12?$2,214
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$2,083
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$2,069
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1,750
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$1,619
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?$1,616
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$1,612
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$1,548
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$1,544
Top Losers
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-2,739
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$-2,666
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$-2,324
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$-2,165
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$-2,129
Will Donald Trump's tie be red on May 7, 2026?$-2,021
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$-1,957
Will the government shutdown end November 13?$-1,923
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$-1,868
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?$-1,848
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.099
Sortino
0.120
HHI
5
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.005
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.4%
Top-5 markets
1.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
139.5
Very active
Markets / Day
26.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
21.4m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
14 min
Avg Trades / Session
90.8
Bot Detection
#660
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 242s — normal for humanCV 1.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock140 trades/day — automation26 markets/day — mass coverage13% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.4
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)3.5%
Mid (20-55c)12.9%
High (>55c)83.6%
Sessions
#1211/5/2025, 1:56:13 AM175 trades$17,57745 min
8/31/2025, 8:04:34 AM94 trades$8,85014 min
5/5/2026, 1:27:38 PM143 trades$8,3298 min
8/31/2025, 6:37:06 AM89 trades$8,16213 min
12/7/2025, 12:49:55 PM110 trades$7,67261 min
1/25/2026, 1:50:08 AM81 trades$7,12222 min
1/27/2026, 4:48:59 PM167 trades$7,08621 min
5/4/2026, 3:54:34 AM49 trades$6,2618 min
5/4/2026, 2:55:24 AM23 trades$6,0152 min
11/25/2025, 7:08:11 PM151 trades$5,68919 min
12/4/2025, 3:09:09 AM100 trades$5,68712 min
1/26/2026, 8:46:35 PM61 trades$5,24616 min
11/18/2025, 2:23:23 PM193 trades$5,14237 min
12/10/2025, 9:29:50 PM137 trades$5,03119 min
7/29/2026, 6:00:05 PM10 trades$5,0000 min
8/31/2025, 11:33:26 PM92 trades$4,95714 min
11/5/2025, 12:24:31 AM48 trades$4,87933 min
11/7/2025, 11:25:07 AM473 trades$4,71910 min
11/7/2025, 11:32:53 PM134 trades$4,65813 min
8/31/2025, 11:54:24 PM79 trades$4,56620 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-02
08-18
10-03
12-07
01-23
05-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 34 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
13.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.4/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.5 / M12.9 / H83.6