@tinys

#2,109,3045

0x2a79b322402d43431e92e36b35627528313e38be

~25d· 50 markets · 222 tradesVol: $15,208 @KilNono19912026-08-05 16:40:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

24% (7/29)0/20
0.28x (win $94 / loss $338)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.4430/15
Sortino -8.7680/10
$-0.1197 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1446 (29 markets)5.3/10
4/15 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 865% of peak ($276 / $32)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
47% entries < $0.20
🏗️Market Maker
78% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#108,388$34Vol: $7,690
📈 ECONOMICS#551,258$-3Vol: $1,105
🌤️ WEATHER#267,387$-28Vol: $1,066
⚽ SPORTS#1,092,830$-2Vol: $952
💰 FINANCE#541,687$-5Vol: $422
₿ CRYPTO#410,838$1Vol: $398
💻 TECH#215,193$-5Vol: $392
🎭 CULTURE#684,381$-10Vol: $327
📢 MENTIONS#75,561$-1Vol: $84

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-22
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,208
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
50
total markets
Trades
149B / 73S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-5
Vol: $80
Month
$-7
Vol: $301
All Time
$-22
Vol: $15,208

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
24%
7W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$-17
Win Rate
24%
7W / 22L
Profit Factor
0.28x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-17

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $79 (4.574592074592075% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?$16
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$11
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$3
Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?$0

Top Losers

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-75
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 11?$-40
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$-37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?$-29
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?$-27
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 22?$-27
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?$-22
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 11?$-21
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 10?$-15
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.427
Sortino
-0.551
HHI
483
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.140
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.8%
Top-5 markets
38.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 166s — normal for humanCV 2.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal78% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.21
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)47%
Mid (20-55c)16.1%
High (>55c)36.9%

Sessions

#12
6/11/2026, 12:07:13 PM11 trades$1,04915 min
6/11/2026, 11:58:45 AM11 trades$7713 min
2/13/2026, 7:22:45 AM4 trades$3991 min
6/10/2026, 11:26:37 AM3 trades$2131 min
3/23/2026, 5:02:13 PM8 trades$2026 min
3/28/2026, 1:38:33 PM7 trades$1409 min
3/28/2026, 1:28:01 PM1 trades$1290 min
3/23/2026, 2:51:23 PM1 trades$1230 min
3/23/2026, 4:48:43 PM1 trades$1150 min
3/27/2026, 8:43:59 AM1 trades$1140 min
3/27/2026, 5:35:01 AM1 trades$1110 min
3/12/2026, 12:10:45 PM2 trades$1063 min
3/23/2026, 3:32:41 PM1 trades$1050 min
3/23/2026, 4:04:09 PM1 trades$1030 min
3/23/2026, 3:39:45 PM2 trades$1021 min
3/9/2026, 7:37:53 AM1 trades$1020 min
3/11/2026, 6:45:51 AM1 trades$1020 min
2/13/2026, 9:47:09 AM2 trades$1001 min
2/13/2026, 7:28:51 AM1 trades$990 min
3/12/2026, 2:44:31 PM1 trades$950 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-13
03-13
03-23
03-28
06-08
06-10
07-24
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 121 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
10.3% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.21/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L47 / M16.1 / H36.9