@0x2a8537…3080

#2,566,34423

0x2a8537fed0e0ad24869ecd1a11f20cb96eba54c1

~59d· 364 markets · 2125 tradesVol: $7,1242026-08-04 21:45:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (171/333)10.7/20
0.73x (win $486 / loss $668)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.5380/15
Sortino -5.1420/10
$-0.0656 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 76 (333 markets)10/10
19/49 profitable days (39%)2.2/10
Max DD 5755% of peak ($204 / $4)0/10

Badges

3
DCA Master
Avg 6.1 entries/market
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🎭 CULTURE#729,357$-22Vol: $1,446
🏛️ POLITICS#1,409,865$-27Vol: $1,391
📢 MENTIONS#9,742$44Vol: $1,330
⚽ SPORTS#1,599,263$-52Vol: $1,092
💰 FINANCE#612,275$-38Vol: $932
💻 TECH#208,019$-3Vol: $161
₿ CRYPTO#201,679$15Vol: $161

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-104
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,124
Total Redeem
$87
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
364
total markets
Trades
1047B / 1078S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~59d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $9
Month
$0
Vol: $9
All Time
$-104
Vol: $7,124

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
171W / 162L events
Realized PnL
$-104
Win Rate
51%
171W / 162L
Profit Factor
0.73x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $83 (0.8041735098058158% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will B8 qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?$30
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$28
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?$25
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?$25
Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?$23
Will Donald Trump's tie be blue on April 24, 2026?$22
Will Vitality reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?$15
Will 9z qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?$13
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$12
Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?$11

Top Losers

Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$-32
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$-18
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?$-16
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?$-16
Will Trump say "Hottest" today?$-16
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 4 weeks or more?$-15
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?$-15
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$-15
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?$-13

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.235
Sortino
-0.268
HHI
66
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.068
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.6%
Top-5 markets
10%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.2
Active
Markets / Day
3.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
15.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
55.7m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.6

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 953s — normal for humanCV 0.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — high frequency3.5 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.1
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.9%
Mid (20-55c)13.5%
High (>55c)79.7%

Sessions

#12
6/18/2026, 2:30:22 AM10 trades$791 min
6/14/2026, 3:32:22 PM14 trades$533 min
6/8/2026, 6:27:40 PM14 trades$505 min
4/23/2026, 9:14:04 PM36 trades$4418 min
7/29/2026, 2:31:23 AM15 trades$444 min
6/3/2026, 8:42:39 PM10 trades$392 min
6/13/2026, 5:34:57 PM4 trades$365 min
5/1/2026, 8:44:18 PM10 trades$362 min
4/26/2026, 1:34:12 AM14 trades$334 min
6/13/2026, 8:33:10 PM14 trades$333 min
4/29/2026, 7:17:02 AM4 trades$330 min
6/9/2026, 6:34:52 PM8 trades$318 min
6/1/2026, 2:00:58 AM6 trades$295 min
6/14/2026, 1:31:18 AM8 trades$296 min
6/1/2026, 12:13:45 PM14 trades$291 min
6/1/2026, 1:23:34 AM9 trades$283 min
6/9/2026, 6:55:19 PM14 trades$275 min
5/25/2026, 10:02:03 AM4 trades$261 min
5/30/2026, 7:33:11 PM12 trades$265 min
6/14/2026, 10:05:09 PM4 trades$251 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-21
04-29
05-17
05-30
06-08
06-16
07-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 53 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.1/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.9 / M13.5 / H79.7