@crayven

#21,03671

0x2aacd459eaea420eb0d7b94c7b03238786c6dfad

~279d· 737 markets · 3539 tradesVol: $373,0902026-08-03 19:26:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (343/664)10.8/20
1.71x (win $30,241 / loss $17,725)11.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.21415/15
Sortino 4.86110/10
$+0.0975 per $1 invested4.9/10
HHI 142 (664 markets)10/10
101/206 profitable days (49%)4.8/10
Max DD 50% of peak ($6,373 / $12,841)4.1/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+6,338
Whale
$128,418 invested
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#7,802$3,662Vol: $255,038
🎭 CULTURE#808,530$-744Vol: $56,450
📈 ECONOMICS#1,114$4,561Vol: $43,542
💰 FINANCE#651,560$-654Vol: $9,162
⚽ SPORTS#1,785,499$-417Vol: $8,117
💻 TECH#237,860$-25Vol: $262
₿ CRYPTO#134,382$44Vol: $188
🌤️ WEATHER#216,858$-3Vol: $56
📢 MENTIONS#114,355$-5Vol: $6

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$6,333
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$373,090
Total Redeem
$94
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
737
total markets
Trades
2038B / 1501S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~279d

Periods

#2
Today
$33
Vol: $0
Week
$33
Vol: $670
Month
$94
Vol: $878
All Time
$6,333
Vol: $373,090

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
343W / 321L events
Realized PnL
$6,338
Win Rate
52%
343W / 321L
Profit Factor
1.71x
Avg Win
$88
Avg Loss
$-58

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,729 (1.0616628117219769% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$2,371
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$2,251
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$2,107
Will no vote occur on a new funding bill by October 31?$1,718
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$1,471
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?$1,348
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$1,173
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?$996
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$924
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$701

Top Losers

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?$-922
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$-916
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$-866
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30?$-793
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?$-610
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?$-605
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?$-565
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$-542
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?$-516
Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?$-472

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.116
Sortino
0.194
HHI
120
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.104
Kelly %
1.3%
Half-Kelly
0.7%
Top-1 market
4.3%
Top-5 markets
17.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 188s — normal for humanCV 2.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal1.4 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.75
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.5%
Mid (20-55c)30%
High (>55c)56.5%

Sessions

#12
5/1/2026, 2:09:10 PM63 trades$11,7452 min
5/6/2026, 1:28:26 AM4 trades$4,4300 min
4/7/2026, 9:34:55 AM21 trades$3,5583 min
4/6/2026, 4:37:37 PM17 trades$3,3975 min
6/8/2026, 5:52:45 PM34 trades$3,1398 min
10/27/2025, 2:43:55 PM11 trades$2,81416 min
10/27/2025, 2:15:51 PM11 trades$2,7899 min
1/23/2026, 9:44:00 AM1 trades$2,2500 min
10/15/2025, 4:46:07 PM11 trades$2,21015 min
12/21/2025, 3:58:39 PM19 trades$2,1126 min
5/13/2026, 2:51:34 PM15 trades$2,0215 min
4/25/2026, 7:11:50 PM9 trades$2,0080 min
4/30/2025, 12:59:41 PM7 trades$1,7938 min
10/30/2025, 2:18:05 AM4 trades$1,7732 min
11/10/2025, 4:49:55 AM6 trades$1,7578 min
4/25/2026, 2:01:22 PM39 trades$1,7227 min
7/21/2026, 8:04:33 PM23 trades$1,6513 min
6/28/2026, 12:56:44 AM3 trades$1,6460 min
6/15/2026, 3:45:13 PM28 trades$1,6346 min
10/13/2025, 1:46:05 PM1 trades$1,6150 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-28
10-17
12-02
01-31
03-30
05-18
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 102 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.75/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.5 / M30 / H56.5