@0x2acf34…7515

#45,56559

0x2acf345851bd6dbcee9c07d157f58386a4fdf9bb

~91d· 3117 markets · 12326 tradesVol: $265,4942026-08-04 23:35:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (1402/3117)7.5/20
1.18x (win $25,195 / loss $21,428)4.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.48315/15
Sortino 4.36010/10
$+0.1256 per $1 invested6.3/10
HHI 20 (3117 markets)10/10
46/91 profitable days (51%)5.1/10
Max DD 68% of peak ($2,825 / $4,146)0.4/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+2,378
Contrarian
79% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#806$2,434Vol: $240,234
₿ CRYPTO#1,402,459$-55Vol: $25,261

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,378
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$265,494
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3117
total markets
Trades
6773B / 5553S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~91d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
1402W / 1715L events
Realized PnL
$2,378
Win Rate
45%
1402W / 1715L
Profit Factor
1.18x
Avg Win
$18
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,495 (1.0490880347127036% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 19?$1,199
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 11?$674
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 14?$622
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 20?$497
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 10?$419
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 12?$372
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 20?$361
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 17?$353
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 12?$332
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 17?$328

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 20?$-163
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 20?$-162
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 21?$-161

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.129
Sortino
0.190
HHI
15
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.126
Kelly %
13.9%
Half-Kelly
6.9%
Top-1 market
1.5%
Top-5 markets
3.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
71.7
Very active
Markets / Day
18.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
15.8m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
34.0

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 152s — normal for humanCV 1.78 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock72 trades/day — mass trading18 markets/day — mass coverage53% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.95
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.6%
Mid (20-55c)63.6%
High (>55c)20.8%

Sessions

#12
7/18/2026, 7:43:27 AM101 trades$9213 min
6/6/2026, 9:59:13 AM76 trades$82412 min
4/27/2026, 7:41:56 AM107 trades$72738 min
4/29/2026, 11:11:48 AM23 trades$56911 min
6/12/2026, 4:07:39 AM25 trades$55011 min
4/28/2026, 10:04:34 PM10 trades$5484 min
4/30/2026, 7:50:22 AM18 trades$4625 min
6/18/2026, 10:05:22 PM9 trades$4240 min
6/19/2026, 11:19:46 AM5 trades$4233 min
6/16/2026, 4:15:27 AM15 trades$4073 min
6/13/2026, 2:19:10 PM12 trades$3754 min
6/17/2026, 11:24:34 AM7 trades$3610 min
6/13/2026, 12:02:34 PM35 trades$3491 min
6/7/2026, 11:43:24 AM34 trades$3498 min
6/19/2026, 2:59:19 PM11 trades$3470 min
2/28/2026, 9:48:27 AM153 trades$34510 min
6/18/2026, 4:05:35 PM8 trades$3340 min
6/19/2026, 10:42:22 AM8 trades$3320 min
4/29/2026, 5:30:12 AM14 trades$33117 min
6/16/2026, 1:41:20 PM18 trades$3254 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-28
02-14
04-26
05-11
06-11
06-27
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 17 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.95/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L15.6 / M63.6 / H20.8