@kevinsdad1

#114,99860

0x2aebd958fed5aff24d3b63fddc0a4696ed8a357e

~42d· 411 markets · 1779 tradesVol: $70,4842026-08-04 18:10:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

60
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

8% (28/338)0/20
1.73x (win $608 / loss $351)11.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.90715/15
Sortino 12.43210/10
$+0.4844 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 134 (338 markets)10/10
13/41 profitable days (32%)0.4/10
Max DD 56% of peak ($145 / $259)2.8/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+509
Lottery Player
59% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
3% sells
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
97% maker orders

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#5,647$151Vol: $35,409
SPORTS#81,541$235Vol: $21,444
🎭 CULTURE#46,941$22Vol: $7,913
💻 TECH#20,032$8Vol: $2,306
🏛️ POLITICS#77,999$67Vol: $2,212
💰 FINANCE#552,432$-6Vol: $734
CRYPTO#877,016$-1Vol: $194

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$509
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$70,484
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
411
total markets
Trades
1728B / 51S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d

Periods

#2
Today
$17
Vol: $819
Week
$10
Vol: $4,597
Month
$68
Vol: $7,836
All Time
$509
Vol: $70,484

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
8%
28W / 310L events
Realized PnL
$509
Win Rate
8%
28W / 310L
Profit Factor
1.73x
Avg Win
$22
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $369 (0.7253943000805295% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?$230
Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?$37
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?$27
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 8?$25
Will FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-07-23?$24
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?$23
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 8?$22
Will Deandre Ayton play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?$17
Will CR Brasil win on 2026-06-30?$13

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 10?$-17
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$-15
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$-14
Brazil to win the second half?$-10
Will the exact score of the penalty shootout in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be any other score?$-8
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$-7
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 12?$-7
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 27?$-7
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$-6
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 27?$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.150
Sortino
0.758
HHI
100
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.525
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.2%
Top-5 markets
13.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
42.4
Active
Markets / Day
9.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
47.4m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.2

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 471s — normal for humanCV 1.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock42 trades/day — high frequency9.8 markets/day — normal97% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.62
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)59.2%
Mid (20-55c)0.1%
High (>55c)40.7%

Sessions

#12
7/4/2026, 9:53:43 PM6 trades$242 min
7/10/2026, 8:35:49 AM30 trades$1437 min
7/8/2026, 7:18:23 PM4 trades$107 min
6/24/2026, 11:26:08 PM4 trades$102 min
6/28/2026, 3:55:10 AM17 trades$95 min
7/4/2026, 3:05:59 AM1 trades$90 min
6/28/2026, 2:26:08 PM5 trades$810 min
6/25/2026, 8:25:04 PM3 trades$77 min
7/20/2026, 11:00:28 AM34 trades$77 min
8/3/2026, 7:36:54 PM2 trades$70 min
8/3/2026, 11:24:23 PM2 trades$70 min
7/31/2026, 4:09:05 PM19 trades$77 min
8/4/2026, 9:55:21 AM2 trades$60 min
7/11/2026, 11:59:01 AM11 trades$60 min
7/21/2026, 2:00:37 AM2 trades$60 min
7/3/2026, 6:39:41 PM2 trades$60 min
7/1/2026, 12:15:14 AM4 trades$60 min
7/24/2026, 9:24:18 PM2 trades$60 min
6/28/2026, 3:49:32 PM2 trades$60 min
6/24/2026, 11:06:43 PM1 trades$60 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-24
06-30
07-06
07-12
07-18
07-24
07-31
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
30% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
2.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.62/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L59.2 / M0.1 / H40.7