cabbag

@cabbag

#147,41366

0x2af14a4847c3c9e644963e0b696eabf1d15dd858

~21d· 115 markets · 572 tradesVol: $16,5442026-08-05 16:40:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

73% (77/106)20/20
1.33x (win $1,197 / loss $898)6.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.05815/15
Sortino 4.78810/10
$+0.0337 per $1 invested1.7/10
HHI 1206 (106 markets)6.5/10
7/17 profitable days (41%)2.8/10
Max DD 54% of peak ($265 / $491)3.2/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 73%
Profitable
PnL $+303
Contrarian
52% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
3% sells
DCA Master
Avg 5.2 entries/market
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🏗️Market Maker
83% maker orders

Categories

7
SPORTS#64,834$375Vol: $12,144
🏛️ POLITICS#1,454,805$-45Vol: $2,066
🎭 CULTURE#777,567$-89Vol: $1,401
CRYPTO#111,276$71Vol: $359
🌤️ WEATHER#284,418$-94Vol: $259
💰 FINANCE#22,032$69Vol: $250
📈 ECONOMICS#52,865$6Vol: $59

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$293
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,544
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
115
total markets
Trades
555B / 17S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d

Periods

#2
Today
$-16
Vol: $0
Week
$-14
Vol: $270
Month
$-14
Vol: $270
All Time
$293
Vol: $16,544

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
73%
77W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$303
Win Rate
73%
77W / 29L
Profit Factor
1.33x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-31

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $870 (2.8666644691301055% of PnL)

Top Winners

Seahawks vs. Patriots$600
Jazz vs. Cavaliers$179
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?$91
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 19?$69
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$58
Bills vs. Jaguars$18
Will Timothée Chalamet win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?$14
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 18?$13
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$13
Suns vs. Heat$13

Top Losers

Hawks vs. 76ers$-165
Rockets vs. Hornets$-100
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on January 16?$-89
Will Trump and Robert Fico not shake hands?$-89
Will "Mr Nobody Against Putin" win Best Documentary at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$-55
Chargers vs. Patriots$-55
76ers vs. Raptors$-49
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$-36
Celtics vs. Pacers$-35
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$-34

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.104
Sortino
0.217
HHI
1246
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.034
Kelly %
23.4%
Half-Kelly
11.7%
Top-1 market
29.4%
Top-5 markets
62.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
28s
between trades
Avg Gap
29.9m
between trades
Night Trading
72%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.0

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 28s — normal for humanCV 3.38 — diverse sizes (human-like)72% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal83% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.19
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.3%
Mid (20-55c)30.5%
High (>55c)48.3%

Sessions

#12
6/8/2026, 10:40:07 PM5 trades$1,2571 min
2/8/2026, 11:49:11 PM19 trades$1,1366 min
2/20/2026, 1:55:44 AM20 trades$89416 min
1/13/2026, 12:33:27 AM150 trades$50839 min
1/14/2026, 12:32:22 AM100 trades$36163 min
1/16/2026, 5:43:08 AM6 trades$3370 min
2/9/2026, 12:46:47 AM4 trades$3303 min
2/9/2026, 12:40:27 AM2 trades$2860 min
2/20/2026, 1:50:04 AM5 trades$2680 min
2/9/2026, 12:00:49 AM2 trades$2660 min
1/18/2026, 8:31:28 PM14 trades$22313 min
2/9/2026, 12:22:29 AM2 trades$1983 min
2/20/2026, 1:43:18 AM2 trades$1980 min
2/8/2026, 11:43:01 PM3 trades$1800 min
2/9/2026, 12:32:27 AM1 trades$1460 min
1/18/2026, 8:06:14 PM10 trades$1395 min
1/17/2026, 11:29:02 PM8 trades$13712 min
2/20/2026, 12:51:10 AM1 trades$1080 min
1/17/2026, 2:43:00 AM2 trades$1071 min
1/12/2026, 2:56:20 AM32 trades$10714 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-10
01-12
01-14
01-17
01-19
01-23
02-08
02-20
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 11 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
6% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.19/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.3 / M30.5 / H48.3