@mackcro
#38,113780x2b5a131a902ed069112fe31c1719e72318f02e45
~61d· 86 markets · 801 tradesVol: $207,0572026-08-05 15:51:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
78
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
51% (40/79)10.3/20
1.76x (win $32,986 / loss $18,766)12/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.93015/15
Sortino 5.98910/10
$+0.3385 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 679 (79 markets)9.1/10
22/45 profitable days (49%)4.7/10
Max DD 37% of peak ($8,464 / $22,685)6.5/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+2,997
Lottery Player
34% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 11.4 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#12,432$1,788Vol: $149,225
💰 FINANCE#1,993$2,476Vol: $27,523
⚽ SPORTS#1,822,265$-882Vol: $14,788
📈 ECONOMICS#2,992$1,049Vol: $11,270
🎭 CULTURE#813,371$-1,104Vol: $1,996
💻 TECH#248,382$-88Vol: $1,068
Overview
#1Net PnL
$2,997
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$207,057
Total Redeem
$1,196
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
86
total markets
Trades
315B / 486S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~61d
Periods
#2Today
$-7
Vol: $0
Week
$-9
Vol: $0
Month
$19
Vol: $0
All Time
$2,997
Vol: $207,057
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
51%
40W / 39L events
Realized PnL
$2,997
Win Rate
51%
40W / 39L
Profit Factor
1.76x
Avg Win
$825
Avg Loss
$-521
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $24,521 (8.18300952406378% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$18,437
Will Trump visit China by March 31?$4,163
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$1,921
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1,664
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$1,111
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?$1,021
Will Trump shake hands with Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the World Economic Forum?$1,017
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$916
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$652
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$504
Top Losers
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$-4,697
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026?$-3,473
Weed rescheduled by June 30?$-2,016
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?$-1,597
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$-761
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$-747
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-693
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?$-682
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?$-472
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$-400
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.100
Sortino
0.260
HHI
1589
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.270
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
34.6%
Top-5 markets
64.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
4.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.4
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 766s — normal for humanCV 1.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity4 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
11.44
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)34%
Mid (20-55c)33%
High (>55c)33%
Sessions
#123/6/2026, 10:31:21 PM13 trades$7,03918 min
6/22/2026, 12:42:13 PM11 trades$4,8878 min
7/22/2026, 6:04:48 PM27 trades$3,5566 min
6/22/2026, 8:49:23 AM16 trades$3,3424 min
4/23/2026, 6:48:14 AM7 trades$2,9455 min
6/22/2026, 6:34:04 AM32 trades$2,9381 min
4/12/2026, 5:03:09 PM13 trades$2,7270 min
4/10/2026, 9:18:47 PM3 trades$2,1040 min
4/23/2026, 9:18:34 AM10 trades$1,8880 min
5/27/2026, 1:14:22 PM11 trades$1,8821 min
2/26/2026, 3:03:56 PM1 trades$1,8030 min
1/30/2026, 7:38:22 AM1 trades$1,7810 min
7/15/2026, 3:25:31 PM26 trades$1,7380 min
7/14/2026, 8:12:26 PM13 trades$1,6900 min
3/6/2026, 5:22:05 PM2 trades$1,6471 min
4/22/2026, 4:00:32 PM12 trades$1,5964 min
6/22/2026, 8:44:19 AM21 trades$1,5780 min
6/22/2026, 12:22:41 PM3 trades$1,5521 min
7/22/2026, 6:32:18 PM6 trades$1,4110 min
7/7/2026, 11:55:13 AM16 trades$1,3930 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-21
02-09
02-26
03-10
04-23
06-15
07-15
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 28 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.44/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L34 / M33 / H33