helvetic-samba

@helvetic-samba

#53,08164

0x2bc8ba8fe0b8b8913ea4f6b53eb5369c8cbab4da

~188d· 1071 markets · 9024 tradesVol: $1,441,2842026-08-03 17:37:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

64
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (630/1055)14.9/20
1.21x (win $69,077 / loss $57,127)5.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.38415/15
Sortino 1.85410/10
$+0.0292 per $1 invested1.5/10
HHI 67 (1055 markets)10/10
101/164 profitable days (62%)7.9/10
Max DD 85% of peak ($11,128 / $13,066)0/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+1,955
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 8.4 entries/market
Whale
$408,881 invested
Consistent
101/164 profitable days
High Roller
$1,929/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#3,129$382Vol: $22,359

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,955
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,441,284
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1071
total markets
Trades
6746B / 2278S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~188d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
630W / 425L events
Realized PnL
$1,955
Win Rate
60%
630W / 425L
Profit Factor
1.21x
Avg Win
$110
Avg Loss
$-137

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,885 (5.567543514175673% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$6,096
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-02-13?$2,684
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?$2,105
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$1,641
Will Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?$1,389
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-02-12?$1,354
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$1,167
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-02-12?$1,163
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$1,128
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?$1,128

Top Losers

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-5,081
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$-3,479
Hampton Pirates vs. North Carolina A&T Aggies$-3,232
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-2,286
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?$-1,877
Will Pisa SC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?$-1,653
Will CA Paranaense vs. Santos FC end in a draw?$-1,493
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?$-1,296
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$-1,284
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?$-1,026

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.072
Sortino
0.064
HHI
61
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.030
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.3%
Top-5 markets
9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
42.6
Active
Markets / Day
5.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
31.9m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.19
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.9

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 124s — normal for humanCV 3.19 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock43 trades/day — high frequency5.1 markets/day — normal69% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.43
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)32.8%
Mid (20-55c)26.8%
High (>55c)40.5%

Sessions

#12
6/25/2026, 9:47:07 PM37 trades$11,00311 min
2/28/2026, 2:05:55 AM4 trades$10,7944 min
2/26/2026, 3:38:10 PM9 trades$10,13219 min
2/25/2026, 3:53:26 AM2 trades$9,6552 min
2/13/2026, 12:10:13 AM10 trades$8,1029 min
2/12/2026, 2:22:03 AM21 trades$8,02313 min
2/13/2026, 7:59:37 PM3 trades$7,4662 min
2/13/2026, 5:20:47 PM5 trades$7,33410 min
2/14/2026, 1:52:31 AM16 trades$7,09910 min
2/25/2026, 1:10:30 AM2 trades$6,5650 min
2/13/2026, 12:40:39 AM34 trades$6,42520 min
2/12/2026, 7:32:13 PM2 trades$5,7360 min
2/23/2026, 12:33:18 PM6 trades$5,6915 min
2/12/2026, 5:21:01 AM16 trades$5,68917 min
2/22/2026, 5:31:46 PM2 trades$5,6461 min
2/6/2026, 12:03:19 AM5 trades$5,5997 min
2/13/2026, 9:11:39 PM32 trades$5,2048 min
2/13/2026, 9:46:01 PM1 trades$5,0450 min
2/12/2026, 5:02:01 AM13 trades$4,94610 min
2/21/2026, 11:59:02 AM8 trades$4,8867 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-04
01-31
02-27
04-02
05-14
06-15
08-02
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 15 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.43/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L32.8 / M26.8 / H40.5