@Paulytrader

#2,883,94167

0x2c8a45ae5568fe2ca02c041c29fb6b07c8a65d15

~12d· 55 markets · 653 tradesVol: $85,4132026-08-04 20:57:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

67
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (20/44)7.7/20
1.45x (win $2,030 / loss $1,403)8.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.45215/15
Sortino 5.34010/10
$+0.0410 per $1 invested2.1/10
HHI 729 (44 markets)8.9/10
15/22 profitable days (68%)9.5/10
Max DD 41% of peak ($428 / $1,055)5.9/10

Badges

4
DCA Master
Avg 13.4 entries/market
Consistent
15/22 profitable days
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,523,411$-102Vol: $33,109
💰 FINANCE#637,129$-132Vol: $30,089
💻 TECH#247,067$-74Vol: $5,792
⚽ SPORTS#1,688,469$-109Vol: $5,235
🌤️ WEATHER#288,169$-137Vol: $3,757
₿ CRYPTO#321,180$4Vol: $1,605
🎭 CULTURE#213,173$0Vol: $1,157
📈 ECONOMICS#43,927$9Vol: $804
📢 MENTIONS#79,000$-1Vol: $204

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-665
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$85,413
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
55
total markets
Trades
447B / 206S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

Periods

#2
Today
$-10
Vol: $110
Week
$-9
Vol: $949
Month
$81
Vol: $1,504
All Time
$-665
Vol: $85,413

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
20W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$-665
Win Rate
45%
20W / 24L
Profit Factor
1.45x
Avg Win
$102
Avg Loss
$-58

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,082 (1.6268813809072729% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Richard Carapaz be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?$400
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$358
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$325
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$203
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?$147
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$103
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$80
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?$79
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 17?$63
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 23?$62

Top Losers

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$-428
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?$-146
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$-135
Will Paul Seixas win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?$-131
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on July 23?$-78
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?$-74
Will Tadej Pogačar be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?$-54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$-52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$-50
Will Mads Pedersen be awarded the Green Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?$-41

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.176
Sortino
0.187
HHI
689
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.044
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.5%
Top-5 markets
49%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
31.1
Active
Markets / Day
2.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
36.9m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 574s — normal for humanCV 1.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock31 trades/day — high frequency2.6 markets/day — normal68% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.43
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4%
Mid (20-55c)35.8%
High (>55c)60.2%

Sessions

#12
7/23/2026, 1:19:01 PM31 trades$1,23513 min
7/15/2026, 4:10:28 PM4 trades$5031 min
7/22/2026, 9:52:58 PM8 trades$4914 min
7/15/2026, 2:38:41 PM9 trades$4762 min
7/24/2026, 8:02:04 PM14 trades$4668 min
7/24/2026, 3:34:04 AM8 trades$3936 min
7/22/2026, 4:15:25 PM15 trades$3595 min
7/24/2026, 6:45:21 AM14 trades$31120 min
7/24/2026, 10:17:58 AM3 trades$3064 min
7/24/2026, 1:28:03 PM3 trades$2813 min
7/24/2026, 12:00:12 AM6 trades$2670 min
7/23/2026, 11:39:31 AM15 trades$26612 min
7/22/2026, 5:30:09 PM4 trades$2594 min
7/18/2026, 9:22:07 PM2 trades$2300 min
7/22/2026, 3:38:18 PM17 trades$22610 min
7/23/2026, 1:07:57 PM2 trades$2140 min
7/18/2026, 7:05:55 PM3 trades$2100 min
7/24/2026, 3:09:27 AM12 trades$2012 min
7/19/2026, 4:12:21 AM2 trades$2000 min
7/24/2026, 7:51:36 PM3 trades$1995 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-15 12:00:00
2026-07-17 12:00:00
2026-07-22 20:00:00
2026-07-24 20:00:00
2026-07-29 00:00:00
2026-07-31 23:59:00
2026-08-03 12:00:00
2026-12-31 23:59:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
15.9% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.43/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4 / M35.8 / H60.2