HotHours

@HotHours

#126,06289

0x2ca6a5867c6b72fbeac8d898ed283d6ae008b9d1

~89d· 1472 markets · 5176 tradesVol: $216,6752026-08-05 03:05:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

89
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

99% (1454/1470)20/20
2.05x (win $1,061 / loss $518)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.36515/15
Sortino 8.42410/10
$+0.0053 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 8 (1470 markets)10/10
80/87 profitable days (92%)10/10
Max DD 25% of peak ($137 / $543)8.9/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 99%
Profitable
PnL $+414
Whale
$101,753 invested
Consistent
80/87 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 25%
Win Streak
233 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
93% maker orders

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#3,419$349Vol: $215,800
SPORTS#148,733$64Vol: $659

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$414
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$216,675
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1472
total markets
Trades
4473B / 703S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~89d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $131
Week
$11
Vol: $2,161
Month
$29
Vol: $3,199
All Time
$414
Vol: $216,675

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
99%
1454W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$414
Win Rate
99%
1454W / 16L
Profit Factor
2.05x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-40

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $230 (0.5554803298111566% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$172
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?$30
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on May 11?$27
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on May 27?$7
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 12?$5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 14?$4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 5?$4
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 20?$4
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 10?$4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 17?$4

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on May 11?$-80
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 12?$-64
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-58
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 4?$-45
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 12?$-40
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 12?$-40
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?$-40
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-39
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 2?$-30
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or higher on May 11?$-30

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.331
Sortino
0.156
HHI
8
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.005
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.5%
Top-5 markets
1.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
49.3
Active
Markets / Day
14.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
27.2m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.6

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 524s — normal for humanCV 0.78 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock49 trades/day — high frequency14 markets/day — mass coverage93% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.53
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.2%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)99.8%

Sessions

#12
7/22/2026, 12:34:51 AM2 trades$3040 min
7/22/2026, 12:29:07 AM2 trades$3010 min
5/11/2026, 5:56:57 PM4 trades$2630 min
5/9/2026, 4:32:51 PM7 trades$2585 min
6/11/2026, 1:34:46 AM12 trades$2432 min
6/7/2026, 6:15:58 AM8 trades$2369 min
5/11/2026, 5:12:18 PM3 trades$2230 min
5/12/2026, 2:51:00 PM7 trades$22117 min
5/20/2026, 6:02:58 PM2 trades$2200 min
4/24/2026, 4:00:12 AM19 trades$21022 min
6/14/2026, 4:03:30 AM10 trades$2034 min
4/25/2026, 4:47:24 AM6 trades$20111 min
4/29/2026, 7:34:28 AM14 trades$19413 min
6/17/2026, 5:12:59 PM7 trades$1899 min
6/21/2026, 12:34:20 AM7 trades$1843 min
5/15/2026, 4:57:40 PM5 trades$18112 min
6/8/2026, 4:54:31 AM6 trades$1816 min
6/17/2026, 10:10:25 PM16 trades$1788 min
4/30/2026, 11:22:36 PM5 trades$1775 min
6/4/2026, 8:46:31 AM9 trades$17212 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-22
05-06
05-29
06-16
06-30
07-15
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
90% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
13.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.53/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.2 / M0 / H99.8