@0x2CA967…7783

#2,802,26366

0x2ca967ba8d12761574db8ab0126348196786fe9c

~89d· 58 markets · 4391 tradesVol: $153,8102026-08-04 17:19:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (21/53)4.8/20
8.27x (win $11,652 / loss $1,409)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.48515/15
Sortino 164.85410/10
$+0.1303 per $1 invested6.5/10
HHI 2158 (53 markets)1.7/10
7/16 profitable days (44%)3.4/10
Max DD 3% of peak ($323 / $10,270)10/10

Badges

4
Whale
$78,632 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 3%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
87% maker orders

Categories

8
💰 FINANCE#18,783$94Vol: $77,806
🌤️ WEATHER#290,639$-194Vol: $37,200
💻 TECH#11,236$28Vol: $34,381
₿ CRYPTO#1,459,473$-94Vol: $2,002
🎭 CULTURE#647,866$-5Vol: $1,300
⚽ SPORTS#1,729,715$-177Vol: $600
🏛️ POLITICS#376,093$0Vol: $511
📢 MENTIONS#48,314$0Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-347
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$153,810
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
58
total markets
Trades
3884B / 507S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~89d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$3
Vol: $501
Month
$-4
Vol: $501
All Time
$-347
Vol: $153,810

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
21W / 32L events
Realized PnL
$-347
Win Rate
40%
21W / 32L
Profit Factor
8.27x
Avg Win
$555
Avg Loss
$-45

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,903 (31.396561654092036% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$7,738
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1,805
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1,360
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$247
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$145
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9?$144
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$57
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8?$37
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$22
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$21

Top Losers

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$-555
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-244
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$-96
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 8?$-95
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 9?$-56
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$-50
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 9?$-45
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$-40
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$-30
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 8?$-26

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.329
Sortino
8.362
HHI
2087
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.137
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
39.6%
Top-5 markets
79.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
29.5
Active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
41.3m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.6

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 457s — normal for humanCV 1.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock29 trades/day — high frequency0.4 markets/day — normal87% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
77.4
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17%
Mid (20-55c)10.8%
High (>55c)72.2%

Sessions

#12
4/30/2026, 8:18:36 PM15 trades$1,0917 min
5/1/2026, 11:58:16 AM12 trades$7186 min
4/30/2026, 8:26:46 AM17 trades$64416 min
4/29/2026, 4:53:42 AM14 trades$61214 min
6/29/2026, 7:12:05 PM14 trades$6081 min
5/4/2026, 4:07:56 PM20 trades$5389 min
5/1/2026, 12:31:48 AM13 trades$52511 min
6/18/2026, 4:46:13 PM15 trades$5076 min
6/18/2026, 4:44:28 AM12 trades$5018 min
3/7/2026, 7:23:57 PM35 trades$49935 min
6/9/2026, 3:16:51 PM33 trades$45124 min
6/18/2026, 12:19:26 AM7 trades$4475 min
6/21/2026, 1:48:52 PM13 trades$4191 min
7/28/2026, 3:59:28 PM14 trades$4192 min
5/1/2026, 12:48:52 AM10 trades$41813 min
4/30/2026, 7:59:42 PM23 trades$4176 min
4/30/2026, 11:53:56 AM5 trades$4056 min
7/17/2026, 9:29:10 AM7 trades$3939 min
5/19/2026, 5:35:47 PM11 trades$3920 min
5/16/2026, 11:23:40 PM2 trades$3840 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-07
05-05
05-19
05-29
06-09
06-28
07-12
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 34 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
36% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
11.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 77.4/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17 / M10.8 / H72.2