@nicolasvz

#566,12519

0x2ce5e17632778cb5e60b7205ef12e87ba15d425b

~18d· 14 markets · 273 tradesVol: $11,2302026-08-04 19:47:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

21% (3/14)0/20
1.05x (win $76 / loss $73)3.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.2665/15
Sortino 0.4524.5/10
$+0.0138 per $1 invested0.7/10
HHI 1266 (14 markets)6.2/10
3/11 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 765% of peak ($51 / $7)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+5
Lottery Player
80% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
🎭 CULTURE#785,131$-116Vol: $10,362
CRYPTO#82,560$121Vol: $868

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,230
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
14
total markets
Trades
107B / 166S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

Periods

#2
Month
$-3
Vol: $0
All Time
$5
Vol: $11,230

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
21%
3W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$5
Win Rate
21%
3W / 11L
Profit Factor
1.05x
Avg Win
$25
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $76 (14.479087452471482% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$58
Ethereum Up or Down - July 24, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$8

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$-40
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in July 2026?$-7
Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$-6
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in July 2026?$-5
Ethereum Up or Down - July 23, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$-3
Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$-3
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in July 2026?$-2
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in July 2026?$-2
Ethereum Up or Down - July 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$-2
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in July 2026?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.013
Sortino
0.023
HHI
1236
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.014
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20%
Top-5 markets
70%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
44
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.2

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 359s — normal for humanCV 1.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule6 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
19.5
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)80.4%
Mid (20-55c)3.7%
High (>55c)15.9%

Sessions

#12
7/11/2026, 7:50:08 AM3 trades$1330 min
7/17/2026, 6:23:54 AM3 trades$690 min
6/20/2026, 12:55:43 PM16 trades$658 min
6/20/2026, 12:44:55 PM12 trades$645 min
6/21/2026, 11:47:26 PM34 trades$4810 min
7/19/2026, 9:43:01 PM8 trades$460 min
6/23/2026, 1:18:13 PM21 trades$406 min
6/23/2026, 11:17:10 AM28 trades$365 min
7/23/2026, 4:54:15 AM8 trades$360 min
6/23/2026, 11:28:04 AM15 trades$270 min
6/19/2026, 11:12:50 PM4 trades$220 min
6/23/2026, 11:03:37 AM14 trades$220 min
6/20/2026, 12:39:23 PM5 trades$220 min
7/16/2026, 8:09:47 AM6 trades$210 min
7/23/2026, 3:53:49 AM4 trades$190 min
6/23/2026, 12:26:13 PM10 trades$170 min
7/13/2026, 4:30:40 AM1 trades$140 min
7/24/2026, 12:29:58 PM2 trades$140 min
6/23/2026, 12:54:23 PM8 trades$130 min
7/23/2026, 7:04:43 AM5 trades$120 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-23
07-08
07-11
07-15
07-16
07-17
07-19
07-22
07-23
07-24
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.5/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L80.4 / M3.7 / H15.9